May 25th, 2013
11:52 AM ET

Analyst: Russia wants U.S. ties to cool

"Fareed Zakaria GPS," Sundays at 10 a.m. and 1 p.m. ET on CNN

Fareed speaks with Matthew Dunn, a field operative in MI6 and now the author of The Spy Catcher novels and Edward Lucas, the international editor of The Economist, about the recent expulsion from Russia of a U.S. diplomat.

So, Matthew, the wig, the cash – do spies really move around like this? The whole thing seems unbelievable.

Dunn: Yes, they do. I mean when I was deployed overseas, I've used wigs. Some props that were found, admittedly, in the case of Fogle, when they're laid out on a table it can look quite amateurish and somewhat bizarre.

But they are the props of the trade, and typically they work 99.9 percent of the time.

You've also written a book on Russia. So is there something interesting about this story, about it being Russia? I mean are we just playing out the Cold War or is there a particular reason this is happening in Russia?

Lucas: Well, I think the really interesting thing about this is not that America spies on Russia, it's not that the CIA has offices at the American Embassy in Moscow.  It's not that they try and recruit Russians. That's their job. It’s not even that surprising they get caught, because espionage is about taking risks. And when something works, it looks brilliant. When it goes wrong, it always looks like a terrible bungle.

What's really surprising about this is the fuss the Russians made about it. They didn’t need to go down this public humiliation route. They named the CIA station chief in Moscow. That’s a really big breach of diplomatic protocol. They had this public humiliation on television, which looked like something out of the Cold War.

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Topics: GPS Show • Russia
How Muslims should respond to terror
May 25th, 2013
05:00 AM ET

How Muslims should respond to terror

"Fareed Zakaria GPS," Sundays at 10 a.m. and 1 p.m. ET on CNN

By Fareed Zakaria

The sheer barbarism of the attack on a British soldier in Woolwich is really beyond comprehension – the alleged murderers are said to have hacked the victim to death, waited for the police to arrive, and seemed to encourage people to videotape their brutality.

And yet, we have to search for some way to think about what appears to be our future.

Terrorism used to be about something big and dramatic. But perhaps because groups like al Qaeda are on the run, their people hunted, their money tracked, their hideouts bombed, Woolwich and Boston have become the new faces of terror – a few people, disturbed or fanatical, radicalized by things they have read or watched, decide to commit evil.

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Topics: Islam • Terrorism • United Kingdom
May 24th, 2013
06:27 PM ET

Weekly quiz: Test your knowledge

How many candidates did Iran's Guardian Council approve for the upcoming presidential election? The parliament of which country banned advertising for alcohol and issued restrictions on its sale on Friday?

Take our weekly quiz to find out.

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Topics: Quiz
May 24th, 2013
05:56 PM ET

GPS special tonight: 'Beyond the Manhunts'

‘Beyond the Manhunts: How to Stop Terror’ – a GPS special tonight on CNN at 11 p.m. ET

Fareed explores a number of key issues: The hunt for Osama bin Laden, the state of al Qaeda, the morality of drone strikes, and the threat of lone wolves striking the U.S. homeland. Expert voices include former Defense Secretary Leon Panetta, former CIA and NSA Director Michael Hayden, and former CIA Counter-terrorism chief Robert Grenier.

“It's very easy, when you get out on that slippery slope, to say…well here we are, we shouldn't just be focusing only on the international terrorists,” Grenier says. “What about the people who are supporting them? But when we take the next step and we start attacking them as an affiliated group, as though they were international terrorists themselves, we’re inviting a lot of trouble.”

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Topics: GPS Show
May 24th, 2013
04:59 PM ET

On GPS Sunday: Spy games, Europe and understanding big data

"Fareed Zakaria GPS," Sundays at 10 a.m. and 1 p.m. ET on CNN

First, Fareed delves into the attack on a British soldier: What lessons can London – and the world – draw from it?

Then, does Britain need more Europe, or less? A discussion with Financial Times commentator Martin Wolf and Pulitzer Prize-winner Anne Applebaum.

“I think that Britain has the opportunity still to be a leading power inside Europe. And because of the particular nature of the Tory Party and because of the nature of the argument right now, it is at risk of eliminating itself,” Applebaum says. “If Britain is going to spend the next two or three years renegotiating its relationship with Europe rather than taking part in the central debates that everybody else cares about, then it will be irrelevant.”

Later, is the Cold War back? Two experts on the world of espionage explain why Russia decided to humiliate an alleged U.S. spy.

And finally, Big Data or Big Brother? How the digital information era is changing the world in extraordinary ways.

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Topics: GPS Show
How the U.S. should respond to Iran’s election
May 24th, 2013
08:53 AM ET

How the U.S. should respond to Iran’s election

By Dwight Bashir, Special to CNN

Editor’s note: Dwight Bashir is Deputy Director of Policy and Research at the U.S. Commission on International Religious Freedom.  You can follow him @DwightBashir. The views expressed are his own.

This week, in one arbitrary swoop, Iran’s Guardian Council shrunk the list of presidential candidates for next month's election from 686 to eight eligible individuals.  It should come as no surprise that all of the serious contenders are loyalists to Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. Still, the decision did hold some surprises, not least the disqualification of former two-term President Ali Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani.

The exclusion of Rafsanjani, 78, speaks to something greater than his age. If we learned anything from the stolen June 2009 election, it was that the regime would do anything to maintain its stranglehold over the country. The last election highlighted a regime fighting for its life by invoking its repressive religious ideology to stifle a tidal wave of dissent and protest, and the banning of Rafsanjani is the first clear sign during this election cycle that Khamenei will do anything to avoid a repeat of 2009. The reality is that since then, Rafsanjani has become a greater adversary of Khamenei and a favorite of the reformist Green Movement.  To allow him to run would be tantamount to giving pro-reform Iranians a rallying icon.

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Topics: Elections • Iran • Middle East
Obama nails it on drones
May 23rd, 2013
07:23 PM ET

Obama nails it on drones

By Michael O’Hanlon, Special to CNN

Michael O’Hanlon is senior fellow at Brookings and author of The Wounded Giant: America’s Armed Forces in an Age of Austerity. The views expressed are his own.

President Barack Obama’s counterterrorism speech Thursday did not deliver any radical policy changes or huge revelations, but it was well done nonetheless. It explained his reasoning behind the use of certain techniques of warfare including drone strikes and Guantanamo detentions, even as he also promised to minimize the use of these methods in the future and try to move towards a world in which the 2001 authorization for war against al Qaeda and affiliates would no longer be needed.  It was an intelligent blend of the tone of his more idealistic speeches, such as the Cairo address of June 2009, with his more muscular messages like the December 2009 Nobel Prize acceptance speech.

But one section of his speech is worth particular focus – the use of armed unmanned combat vehicles or drones. Even though President Obama did not specify exactly how drone strikes would change in the future, and did not provide a great deal of new information about them, the modest amount of detail he did provide was welcome. That is because U.S. drone strikes are badly misunderstood around the world, a point underscored by a New York Times op-ed today contained the following statements:

“...the C.I.A. has no idea who is actually being killed in most of the strikes. Despite this acknowledgment, the drone program in Pakistan still continues without any Congressional oversight or accountability.”

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Topics: Afghanistan • Barack Obama • CIA • Pakistan • Terrorism
Is Kim Jong Un more bellicose than his dad was?
May 23rd, 2013
09:17 AM ET

Is Kim Jong Un more bellicose than his dad was?

By Troy Stangarone, Andrew Kwon and Peter Taves, Special to CNN

Editor’s note: Troy Stangarone is the senior director of Congressional Affairs and Trade at the Korea Economic Institute of America. Andrew Kwon is a recent Masters of International Security graduate from the University of Sydney. Peter Taves is a Masters of International Economic Relations candidate at American University. The views expressed are the authors’ own.

Whether threatening to turn Seoul into a “sea of fire” or describing the recent summit meeting between Presidents Barack Obama and Park Geun-hye as a prelude to war, over-the-top rhetoric has become almost an art form for the leadership in Pyongyang. Under Kim Jong Il, the United States and South Korea grew accustomed to North Korea engaging in threats to extract concessions as Pyongyang mastered the art of crisis escalation, only to dial tensions down when the time was right to get what it wanted. But if the language used under Kim Jong Il was calculated for effect, the thinking behind Kim Jong Un’s rhetoric is much less clear.

While the events of recent months contain certain familiar elements, there has been a higher degree of specificity in the threats, an increase in their intensity, and a longer duration than in previous crises. This is reflected in an analysis of the rhetoric used in current and previous crises in North Korea’s Korean Central News Agency (KCNA), which shows the use of terms such as “war,” and “nuclear” far more prevalent than terms such as “peace,” and “reconciliation.”

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Topics: Asia • North Korea
Partners, not pledges, needed to fight HIV
May 23rd, 2013
09:16 AM ET

Partners, not pledges, needed to fight HIV

By Rebecca Schleifer and Darby Hickey, Special to CNN

Editor’s note: Rebecca Schleifer is the advocacy director for Human Rights Watch’s Health and Human Rights Program.  Darby Hickey is a policy analyst with the Best Practices Policy Project, which promotes the human rights of people doing sex work. The views expressed are their own.

The Supreme Court is expected to rule next month in a case about whether the U.S. government can require organizations to denounce prostitution as a condition of funding for their international HIV/AIDS work.

As those on the ground who work in programs trying to stop the spread of HIV have reported, this “anti-prostitution pledge” makes it harder to reach out to sex workers, the very people whose cooperation is needed to make these efforts work.

Since 2003, U.S. law has required organizations receiving U.S. anti-AIDS funds to have a specific organization-wide policy “explicitly opposing prostitution.” This requires organizations to censor their speech on prostitution, or sex work, even when using their own private funds in separate programs. The government contends the pledge is a way to identify the best organizations to carry out HIV/AIDS work and that the provision does not violate free speech because groups can set up parallel organizations  not bound by the pledge. The Alliance for Open Society International, which brought the Supreme Court case, says that the pledge not only violates its First Amendment rights but also undermines the very public health goals that the government is providing the money to achieve.

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Topics: Health
Cyber security expert answers readers' questions
May 23rd, 2013
09:14 AM ET

Cyber security expert answers readers' questions

Cyber security expert Eugene Spafford, a professor of computer sciences at Purdue University and former member of the President’s Information Technology Advisory Committee, responds to GPS readers’ questions. The views expressed are his own, based on publicly available information, and do not necessarily reflect those of any other organization.

“Danish Ahmed” notes we have laws governing the high seas and space – should governments be doing more to implement rules in cyber space?

Definitely, yes. Unfortunately, there are many significant obstacles in the way.  We’ve had governments for thousands of years and we are still working out how to balance national interests against each other with simpler technologies, and to understand and enforce the laws and norms those governments set for their populations. The whole notion of international computing networks is about 35 years-old – about one human generation. That isn’t enough time for us to get the experience necessary to really understand what needs to be done and what will work.

We have need of better agreements on behavior about what might be considered illegal, for instance.  But to do that, we need to come up with some norms or appropriate use to which (almost) everyone can agree.  This will not be simple or quick because there is such a variety of national and cultural standards that must be bridged. As one particular case, there are broad general protections in the U.S. for political and religious expression. However, that is not the norm everywhere else. For example, references to Nazi symbols are criminal offenses in Europe, Christianity is effectively banned in some Muslim countries with proselytization a capital offense, any criticism of the king is a crime in Thailand, and discussion of the failings of the Communist Party is blocked in the People's Republic of China. The situation may be even more complex as we consider images, video, and sound. Cartoons that purport to be of the Islamic prophet Mohammed will generate violence in many countries and be seen as valid speech in others. Posting pictures of naked people will be (boring) art in some countries, scandalous pornography in others, and possibly generate a death sentence in a few more. How do we begin to define norms for everyone to use?

FULL POST

May 22nd, 2013
09:10 PM ET

Economy needs both reform and investment

By Fareed Zakaria

The U.S. tax code is at the heart of a system of institutionalized, legal corruption. The code is so vast because companies, industries and lobbying groups receive special preferences in return for campaign contributions, a cash-for-favors scheme that Washington would denounce as crony capitalism in any Third World country.

You can see the corruption at work in the fierce opposition to efforts to lower the corporate tax rate. After demanding this reduction for years, companies are now lobbying hard — and spending heavily — to retain their own special tax breaks, which is what drove rates up in the first place.

Read the full Washington Post column

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Topics: Economy
How terrorism has evolved
May 22nd, 2013
09:02 PM ET

How terrorism has evolved

By Jeffrey N DeMarco, Special to CNN

Editor’s note: Jeffrey DeMarco is a lecturer in Criminology at Kingston University and research associate with the Centre of Criminology and Sociology at Royal Holloway, University of London. The views expressed are his own.

Here we are again. An attack. A metropolis. A sensational depiction of violence. A Western victim. These are the thematic artifacts of our current (British) understanding of the “War on Terror.” Regardless of the venue, the perpetrator, or the modus operandi we reach an ultimate conclusion: Islamic jihadists. Full stop. The drawn out era of conflict post-9/11 has limited our already narrow understanding of a worldwide conflict fuelled by our incomprehension of “another.” The “War on Terror,” meanwhile, has evolved.

When the Twin Towers fell, our concept of terrorism and victimology dramatically changed. No longer did these atrocities play out on foreign soils, but instead on our neighbors’ door steps. The attack on London's transit system in July 2005, as with that on Madrid's in March 2004, only reinforced our own feelings of victimization. What we fail to acknowledge is the evolutionary process terrorism, as crime, follows.

On Thursday, with the killing in Woolwich in Southeast London of a man believed to be a soldier, we were reminded of the dynamic nature that a terrorist act can take. As details emerge, we see the substantiated process of the “lone wolf” or “wolf pack” emerging further. The purpose of terrorism is not, contrary to popular belief, to terminate the maximum number of lives. Instead, the goal is the installation of fear and uncertainty amongst the populace.  Al Qaeda’s influence is not about direct contact – the group’s mere existence is intoxicating, given the appropriate channels.

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Topics: Terrorism • United Kingdom
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