By Fareed Zakaria, CNN
Earlier this year, I thought the Syrian regime would be able to persevere. It has been extraordinarily brutal and, unfortunately, if governments are willing to open fire on their people with utter disregard for human life, it often works. Crowds disburse; people stop gathering. Syrian President Bashar al-Assad has been about as brutal as you can get. So I thought that, as sad as it is, his regime would be able to endure.
Furthermore, I noted that the opposition did not have a geographic foothold in the way that the Libyan opposition did. In Libya, you had a divided country; the opposition, generally speaking, came from the East. They were able to take Benghazi. That provided them with a base of support. Syria's opposition doesn't seem to have that.
In the face of all of this, the courage of the Syrian people is just stunning. They keep protesting. They keep organizing. And it appears that the Syrian security forces are actually suffering significant setbacks.
But a big reason I think the Assad regime will fall is simple: It's running out of money.
Remember, Syria is not an oil regime. It doesn't have that much cash. It has always relied on trade and smuggling and some money from Iran. The United Nations sanctions are actually quite effective in cutting down trade. And Turkey is now going to impose its own sanctions on Syria, which is very significant. It will squeeze Assad even tighter.
Assad leads a minority regime that has been able to stay in power by bribing key members of the Sunni elite in both the business community and the military. At the end of the day, that game becomes much more difficult to play once the money runs out.
For this reason, I think we are now seeing the beginning of the end of Assad's rule. It may still take a year to run its course. But I now think this regime is going to collapse after all.
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do as you feel you must..but know i need only you...NOTHING else...i mean it...leave it behind if you can...it means nothing...God is watching out for us...no need to bring out past fortunes or lack of with us...who cares...i am only intersted in your love...only your love....
i think Zakaria is full of shizz you know why? he knows absolutely nothing, yet he speculates that he know something. which is often nothing.
Really? If he knows nothing, how much else do you know besides your own miserable life?
FAREED IS RIGHT! Bashar al-Assad's days are numbered. The Syrians aren't afraid of his regime anymore. All these violent crackdowns won't spare him the ignominy of a step-down. He must learn the lesson from Muammar Gaddafi – months of isolation, humiliation and a tragic end for him and his family.
agree with u, Very well said
Not fair,not fair indeed,perhaps he is soft and too kind but calling him names? not a good idea.
Fareed Zakaria is wrong. First Syria has oil, it is common knowledge. Not to be used as an argument nor saying this is the only oil they have but the least they have are the enormous natural gas reserves shared with Lebanon (Yes Lebanon! ) in the Mediterranean waters.
Further, why do you think the opposition has no geographic cluster? It actualy does in the Northern cities in Hama and Homs but ant-Syrian regimes´ trend (I am one you better believe it!) is not to mention it because they are religious extremists. The rest are distributed all over Syria showing a diversification advantage (Versus the disadvantage Mr. Zakaria was highlighting).
In Lebanon, Qatar´s intervention was pro-Syrian/ Shia Hezbollah (at face value and probably to please Israel´s destabilisation efforts). How come did it suddenly turn against Syria so harshly and defending Saudi Arabia? Is it because they want to follow the strong current, because of religious belonging or for the natural gas reserves (Yes Syria has them) or because they do not want Saudi Arabia exploring them?
Yes the regime will end up falling probably because you cannot oppose a president to a growing violent opposition for long. However, the opposition people are no courageous saints, they are ordered and funded to align Syria with the region´s politics.
No Arab opposition was ever clean. They always divulged another image when they succeeded in destroying a regime. Look at post Kingdom Egypt and look at Egypt now, look at Lybia and Tunisia who rushed into declaring religious states. Syria is on the way and the operation is not as transparent as it appears.
Last but not least, if the West is interested in this point, this will be the beginning of the end for a pro-western group of people who genuinley carry western values but were betrayed all over the history by the West and forgiving on a need/wishful thinking basis : the Christians of the Midldle East!
Good luck guys with your secret service goals promoting adverse religious extremism and destroying countries further. Assad may be horrible but anybody replacing him or any western intervention for everything except the declared reasons will be even worse. Nobody cares though, life has to go on with CNN using brand names to say whatever occurs in a jounalist´s "2 minute" brainstorming about what people want to hear plus money has to be made wherever and however possible. Amazing.
يا أليكسي الأهبل, أقل شئ زكريا يعرف أكثر منك. أعرف جيداً أنك لن تستطيع قرأة ما أكتب و هذا السبب يكفي لاثبات أنك أهبل و جاهل. مع تحياتي العطرة لك.
Agree!
You cant say that he knows "nothing". As soon as you call it nothing it becomes something therefore it is impossible to know nothing. Here is my 2 cents on this Assad issue. DRONES DRONES DRONES
==== Syrian Oil:) === Lower gas prices:)
thanks for providing nothing. you idiot
I agree. His ability to predict out comes is borderline embarrising. Same guy who one wrote we could never win a war in Iraq. Good stuff. He's paid to educate and inform us, and his track record hasn't been impressive. He offers nothing more or nothing lesscthan what I could report. We should expect more from CNN.
Very similar to your comment.
I suspect that what you know could be contained within the boundaries of a postage stamp.
You are so right Alexie...We miss sound journalism, and zakaria is unfortunatly far from it. The name of the game is not Assad, or Human rights or Democracy, the name of the game is cold geopolitics, Assad, the Brave Syrian People who are building their future, you and I..... are simply....used..., and Zakaria cannot say the truth and hold his job, he needs to write what he is told to write...with elegance, I must confess...let us just leave every country solve its problem alone...if the Syrian people want democracy, they will get it..without the help of Zacaria, Sarkozy or the Democtartic Prince of Qatar ....
Alexie, Is that the reason why he is somebody and you are a nobody!
Alexie, I think you know nothing about the game, not Zakaria.
Human Heritage under NWO threat... Heritage of MidEast under Jewish eliminaZonal process... Cultural values of all oppressed peoples living the worst age for instance Syria's Christians Armenians living in fear... Support Braveheart hero Dr. Bashar Al-ASSAD for saving civilization in the MidEast!
NAN, wake up and smell the roses, it's over, move on.
Nan, you just made me vom, thanks a lot
nan; Really; WTH?
alexei:
لا أستطيع قراءة الكتابة الخاصة بك إذا كنت تستخدم جوجل ترجمة
Please take your anti-psychotic medication before your hurt yourself.
You know Lebanon and Irak borders are still wide open you can bring in and out anything you like!
It would be nice if the entire Middle East would pack up their hate-mongering asses and move to Jupiter. We're all so sick of your violence, your repression of women, and your breeding of terrorism and war. Go away.
Thank-you.
Always remember to love the LORD your God first with all of your heart above anyone or anything in this world. Seek first the things of Heaven for this is a vanishing world. For you wouldn’t be or have without Him Who created you! All He wants is your love. There is coming soon a paradise with no sin, pain, sorrows, wars, evil....Heaven on earth with the LORD. BEHOLD! HE COMES QUICKLY!
Which "God" are you referring to? When you say God is a "He" what do you base that on? More Western "Old bearded guy on the throne sky fairy garbage". When is God coming quickly? Today? In a million years? You know what heaven is? The blind beliefs in books written by men thousands of years ago that are filled with inconsistency and logical fallacies never ceases to amaze me. How about you go inside, meditate and remove the "sliver" from your own eye instead of preaching about how Your God comes quickly?
Are you on drugs??
ما هو الدين الباطل؟ هل تُحزنك او تضايقك الجرائم المرتكبة باسم الدين؟ هل يجعلك مفهومك للعدل تنتفض إزاء ما يُخاض من حروب وما يُرتكب من ارهاب وفساد على ايدي مَن يدَّعون خدمة الله؟ لماذا يقف الدين على ما يبدو وراء هذا العدد الكبير من المشاكل؟
لا يقع اللوم في الحقيقة على الدين ككل، بل على الدين الباطل. فقد اشار يسوع المسيح، وهو شخصية دينية يحترمها الناس في معظم انحاء العالم، الى ان الدين الباطل يُنتج اعمالا شريرة مثلما ‹تُنتج الشجرة الفاسدة ثمرا رديئا›. (متى 7: 15-17) فما الثمر الذي يُنتجه الدين الباطل؟
١- جنود في المعركة؛ ٢- مقبرة؛ ٣- رجل دين
الدين الباطل . . .
يتورَّط في الحروب ويتدخَّل في السياسة: تقول مجلة اسبوع آسيا (بالانكليزية): «في جميع انحاء آسيا وخارجها، لا يتورَّع القادة المتعطِّشون الى السلطة عن التلاعب بمشاعر الناس الدينية لتحقيق مآربهم». وتحذِّر هذه المجلة من ان «العالم يقف [بنتيجة ذلك] على شفير الغرق في فوضى عارمة». قال احد القادة الدينيين البارزين في الولايات المتحدة: «لا بد من القضاء على الارهابيين لوقف القتل». وما هو الحل برأيه؟ «إبادتهم عن بكرة ابيهم باسم الرب». وبالتباين مع ذلك، يقول الكتاب المقدس: «ان قال احد: ‹اني احب الله›، ولكنه يبغض اخاه، فهو كاذب». (1 يوحنا 4: 20) حتى ان يسوع قال: «احبوا اعداءكم». (متى 5: 44) فكم من الاديان برأيك يشترك اعضاؤها في الحروب؟
يبثّ العقائد الباطلة: تعلِّم معظم الاديان ان النفس او الروح جزء من الانسان غير منظور، يبقى حيًّا بعد موت الجسد. وبواسطة هذا التعليم تستغل اديان كثيرة رعاياها فتتقاضى منهم أجرا على الصلاة عن انفس الموتى. اما الكتاب المقدس فيعلِّم تعليما مغايرا، اذ يقول: «النفس التي تخطئ هي تموت». (حزقيال 18: 4) «الاحياء يعلمون انهم سيموتون، اما الاموات فلا يعلمون شيئا». (جامعة 9: 5) من جهة اخرى، علَّم يسوع ان الموتى سيُقامون. فلو كان الانسان يملك نفسا خالدة، لما كانت قيامة الاموات ضرورية. (يوحنا 11: 11-25) فهل يعلِّم دينك ان النفس لا تموت؟
would changing stance make you a flip-flopper ?
no,,,who the hell need a fllip flopper...i want a steady, loving, verry loving , very loving and very very patient one...someone like oliver...
Do you know how to write or speak English?
I wouldn't call changing your mind because you are accepting the evidence in front of you as flip flopping. I would call it being more informed of the situation.
Then you're not a politician. Once a pol has taken a position, any deviation from it is instantly labelled "flip-flop".
Hmm... Flip flopping is a perception used by the other party. Having a particular view on something, anything and then either becoming more educated through your studies or personal experiences and changing your views because you're more knowledgable about that subject now is not flip flopping.
I would say that it is more than just perception. A flip-flopper is not one who merely admits he/she was wrong, but one who changes based merely on changes in the political winds or one who goes back and forth depending on what crowd they are addressing. I usually don't like Fareed Zakaria, but I cannot call him a flip-flopper here.
Like from a wide stance?
...o am a survivor...you too...i know it...xooxoxooxoxooxoxooxoxo.....
Can Zakaria go more in depth on his allegations that Assad is running out of money? What proof does he have? I am tired of poor journalism where rumours and hear say are used as facts in articles....
He states his logic in the piece, in case you didn't notice. Syria doesn't have the endless amounts of oil money that Saudi Arabia and Iran do; as such, Assad's pockets aren't nearly as deep as Gadhafi's was. That makes the international pressure on Syria – including that given by the Arab League – a whole lot more significant.
True, Syria isn't an oil-rich country like Libya. These sanctions would mean a huge blow to Syria's economy. Even if Assad would get compensation from Iran for the shortfalls, there will still be enormous deficits!
Actually the sanctions have little effect on Syria, as Syria didn't have much trade with the west in the first place
Although I also would like to see more details on the money issue, poor journalism is the furthest from the truth when judging Z. I have been learning more and more that he has been precise and correct on issues he states his opinion on.
Yeah, the supergenius is right on target by proposing that Syria's government is a closed economic system with only its own money to spend, huh?
Zakaria really believes that one Syria runs out of its own money that it won't (or isn't currently) being funded by other regimes and groups???
Assad has managed to stay in power due to the influx of monies from all over the world, no doubt INCLUDING THE US GOVERNMENT. Zakaria once again tries to pass of personal opinion as if it is assumed fact.
Seriously. You could learn a more accurate view of Middle East politics from watching Spongebob rather than reading this article's author.
What other regimes? What other groups? Iran? Iran has no money... they face their own sanctions.
Actually, Iran has alot of liquid cash. No doubt they are helping Assad. And I also agree with the other poster above me: The US did, in fact, help Assad stay in power (especially his daddy), like they helped all other Arab dictators.
Poor journalism (if we can still legitimately call it that) is the standard now. Journalists are very high on the human pukes list. Lawyers are 1st, then politicians followed closely by "journalists" or should we call them "tabloidists"......you get the picture.
While I have respect for Mr. Zakaria, I think Gia makes a good point here. So much of online "journalism" is now little more than blog posts. Soft editorials, if you will. Not factual reporting based on evidence, along with perhaps the drawing of conclusions that readers can evaluate for themselves based on said evidence.
Evil should not prevail in this world. Good and brave Syrian people stand up. The UN, the US, the EU and China should support them.
The US and the EU? Sure. The UN? Maybe. China? Err...
Counting on China for justice? You must be out of your mind or just come out of jungles.
Seriously...lol
China and the former USSR now known as Russia often comes down on the side of evil. Look how they protect Syria and Iran, A separate thought evil always self destructs, just not in a timely way.
YEA! i agree!
They are. Although the definition of evil is "Not under the control of the US".
I don't know what's more funny in your post: the fact that you mentioned the UN, or the fact that you mentioned China.
Yay! Another middle eastern pig falls! Im sick of the middle east being the armpit of the world, These %#*!!s in the Middle east wiped out, Whatever it takes including carpet bombing the capital cities,We did this in ww2 and guess who our best buddies are in the world,
very wise and smart !! if ppl like you didnt know the daylight ... life would be billion times better ...
Way to go man. Thank god you are not the president because you would have made George Bush's genocide in Iraq seem like an Aztec's sacrifice compared to the 10's of millions you were gonna kill. You would have made Hitler look like a sane person.
Americans dont want this. You only speak yourself.
I agree, Zakaria’s article get featured but why? He backs up nothing he says... ed-opinions are weak as it is, ones with so little facts or support are not even worth reading (much less being featured).
Take this guy off and save CNN some creditability
Bobby, you are dead wrong about Zakaria,He has more knowledge about the middle east then anyone else on television currently, Bobby,do your research on him he has a good track record of being accurate in his predictions.
You must mean credibility.
He means creditability. CNN wouldn't have to pay FZ his salary so CNN will be able to increase it's line of credit.
Doug, you mean "its"
HOw about we worry about the dissent in our own nation. Is it funny how everyone is a bad guy unless it's your own government, people can't OWS, but syria is bad for putting down dissent. I find this to be complete hypocrisy.
Since when can people not Occupy Wall Street? Oh, right. Bloomberg. Never mind...
I can't believe you can make that comparison. A bloody repression by Syria where they send in the tanks and have snipers indiscriminately shoot people in the street and where 4000 people have died is same as telling protestors they can't camp in a city park, clearing out their tents and then letting them back in to protest in the day? Really? I tend to support the OWS goals and crackpots like you don't help at all. You make us all look like morons.
Dream on OWS guy! You are not a brave freedom fighter. The USA is not killing you. USA is not Syria. You are incapable of differentiating a tyranny from a democracy. Sad.
NYC cops didn't shoot at the protesters like Syrian security forces did.... Sheeeshh....
No one cares that YOU find some kind of hypocrisy between two things that are completely different situations. Propagandists like you do nothing but hurt your cause by saying incredible things, dramatizing everything and just plain spinning and twisting any little thing you can to somehow fit your agenda. America would be far better off without you and people like you.
Zakaria, here you go at it again. Poor, weak and unrealistic journalism. What in the world makes you think that you are right? Now you have to intervene and pay some mercenaries to bring down Syria otherwise your opinion will bring you down. But fortunately there will be no bring down Syria because the people are behind what you call "Assad's regime". No Joze, not this time!
Sorry, but which people behind Assad. Only his sect of Alawi who represent 3-5% while every Sunni (Arabs 75%, Kurds about 10%) of the population are against him. Assad will fall in less than 4-6 months.
what a load of crap!!
explain the million and millions of Pro-Assad supporters rallying in Syria (and around the world)
You live in a utopia world. Not 4 months not 100 months, Syria is not Libya. Your are just dreaming that the anti-american voice of the Middle-East will be silenced. Wake up the Arab Spring is not pro-america, look at the results is Tunisia, Libya, Egypt and Yemen: they will all be anti-american and the next wave of anti-israeli. Now because of the ongoing unrest in the Arabic world, the GCC thought that they could control the Arab League for their New World Order: WRONG! The worst democracies of the world (the living-dead Kings of Arabia) are playing their last card and their survival in the Arabic Spring. Why do you think they (the GCC) are using force against the Bahraini? Because they want to stop the virus before it spreads (do you hear about unrest in SA, Jordan, Kuwait, Morocco ?) but wait and see. Their stealing the Arab league against Syria is just a matter of time before they start dying from the virus coming at them. 4-6 months, I say before the reverse of destiny hits the remaining of Arab Pariahs. Do you read?
It hurt my eyes to read that, Fareed. "Disburse?" Ouch.
In my opinion, Disburse is the right word. He is talking about money.
Well you are wrong – he meant crowds disperse as in dissipate not disburse as in give out money...
I doubt he wrote it, but rather dictated it to a staffer who typed up the article. The man can certainly think in complete sentences and paragraphs. This isn't an essay, though, but simply a blog entry.
Fareed, you meant disperse, not "disburse"?
I think Fareed meant disperse, not "disburse"
I am creeped out because I read the article in Zakaria's voice in my haid
Ditto
Actually, disperse simply means to distribute or spread. Disburse means to pay out or expend. Fareed's word choice is more apropos in this instance.
No it isn't more appropriate – the correct word is disperse
"Crowds disburse" ... so he's talking about crowds of people paying money? Wrong. The correct word is "disperse." Your opinion is irrelevant.
Disburse is a word too, people...
http://dictionary.reference.com/browse/disburse
In this case, "disperse" was what must have been intended. The regime's troops aren't out for the primary purpose of extorting money from protesters, although I'm sure that's happening.
Do keep in mind, however, that Assad's Syrian military is much more powerful than Libya's armed forces; Hence, there probably won't be any sort of armed intervention on the part of the West to help the revolutionaries–and they will have to fend for themselves. Thus, I would give the Assad regime about a 50/50 chance of survival right now–though Zakaria's point about Assad's problem of a lack of oil money (to either withstand sanctions or "buy off" the population as in Saudi Arabia) is right on the mark.
who cares what you think fareed....you're in conflict of interest meeting with obama to discuss foreign policy and then trying to pass yourself as a journalist when you really are trying to indoctrinate americans into a certain way of thinkiing...and thats NOT your job...cnn ought to fire you. plus, more than half the time you get things dead wrong. like egypt for example. dead wrong. lastly, your anti israel animus is transparent and consistent, which indicates it is partisan and perhaps even anti semitic.
No, he's not anti semetic. That's as stupid a statement as the ones you accuse him of making
In a span of 6 months, two people hit my car on the parking lots, with me sitting in the car, and both denied it. I asked a man for his license and registration, and he said that there was no damage, and when I insisted, he insulted and threatened me. A woman just insulted me. And you worry about Syria?
No, we should rather worry about the hired people like Pakistani Zakaria Fareed to give us a wrong opinion of the world. This is called media propaganda: you use a puppet rejected by his own because of his lacking integrity and make him voice the anti-his-own in his own words. They are called uprooted persons. This guy is 100% fake and does not understand the Arabic world as CNN tries to convey, he knows the wrong side of Pakistan and he knows the bad side of the US, read his opinions of American affairs, it will make you throw up.
Well the FSA will not change the ROE, the defectors and others have to remove him, if they don't they are all dead, the deal for Mubarak, the deal that happened in Yemen cannot be enforced in Syria by the AL or anyone else. Once it cools down he will keep killing quietly and not leave, he has form for backtracking. And the defectors are dead men as are their families.
IF anything,the protesters in Syria though some of them are armed are not being run out of Public places,unlike Ny and LA.
If Assad was that bad,there are many ways he could have gotten rid of them.
Whether Asad falls or not, it will not be because of what Fareed says.
Progress to come...
more than lack of moneys, a peoples will to Freedom at all costs
Everyone knows Zakaria is a supporter of Iran and would love nothing more than to see Iran build/obtain the bomb. He seems to consider it inevitable so why interfere. Nazi Germany could have been stopped easily in the mid-1930's but no one interfered. Ten years later, 400,000 Americans were dead. What makes this scarier is that Obama listens to and consults with him, which confirms Obama has no problem with an Iranian bomb. Let us hope and pray Obama is elected out of power before it is too late.
Ken, you're a lunatic. Just take that in as you post crap like this
**** MORON ALERT !!! ****
Mr. Zakria, you SMART ASS, now you have proved wrong. It shows that you can only predict things written on the wall.
i remember an article of u when u said that the economical system of syria is pretty isolated from the world and this makes the sanctions don't work effectively
u should put in consideration the money that comes from iran. i think iran isn't that a small country
iran support al assad not only only because a political cause but also because a religious cause the both are shia
Oh really. Thank you for the brilliant insight. I'll drink to that. What are you having? And yes please keep us updated on the latest flash of .. what is it? ..
(Who hired this genius at CNN anyway)
Hmm..Zakaria normally posts pretty good pieces. This, to me is just a really obvious prediction.
Zakaria, Israel has been warning the world about Syria for years. You're a bit late to the party. Maybe you should be listening to more of what Israel has to say about its neighbors. Take off your anti-Israel goggles and see the truth, my brother.
Mr. Zakaria...disburse...really? You meant disperse.
Wow Zakaria really is taking a pounding from a lot of people. But, along with others, I can't ride that train. The truth is he is very knowledgeable, and his more descriptive companion articles reflects that. Here, he is simply giving his summation and his 'opinion', and not in any soap box way that inevitably lead to his 'predictions'. And, interestingly, I have noticed that, at least on the global watch, he has been simplifying his writing, and not to dummify things, rather, for clarity. And its working, I think. Really its ironic...he shoots for clarity. He succeeds.... ( Look at the responses to the journalits and correspondant authors from commentators; half the time its as if they, the latter, barely read it. They, you, we, (the latter, again) digress, terribly..)...then you knock him for his clear communication. If his views along with full research – quotes, references, etc. – were presented 'together', many of you would probably not take the time to fully read it. The man knows that. So he separates tons of background earth digging and fact compilation from this article, for one, to bring a clearer picture of the political landscape to you. And now that he has done so it becomes easier for you to challenge him. GOOD. I bet he would have no problem with that. 'That' is how we all think and learn. Just challenge him right. I can assure you the man does his home work. Do yours.
You can "assure" us? How? Do you live with him? Are you his administrative assistant. Quit talking about what you don't know and leave us alone.
Timote ur a moron
If Syrians never fight sure they will loose. Assad can just stay inside his town and still be the king and the opposition stay in Turkey[can't become the member of that country too] just ask others to raise(without fight) one day or the other they will become tired. Learn from Lybian youth...give free hand to Free Syrian Army(FSA). Look if Assad's army just leave the city where there FSA are holding and crush the revolt on the other side. still he is the king...can opposition say me how much part do the FSA hold…think…Fire is either to consume or been put off. Think Syrian Opposition is of type late pickup. So as the Syrian Army... Look Egypt army...they first started to shoot at the protester... but soon they came to sense that they kill their own people. If you keep Gandhian protest(I am from India) you will loose more life and more time in which case Iran, Russia, China, Hizbullah and Hamas might join open to help Assad. Then you can keep ur butts ready to be kicked
:):)...this is my analysis. Sorry if it hearts someone. The life of each death of Syrian People is not a family member of the Syrian Opposition... They have their own family to love and protect. FSA has to take charge. don't fold the hands of FSA.
With all duel respect for Mr. Zakaria, political analysts are not much different from financial analysts; i.e., they are much better at expressing their view as to why things have happened versus actual forecast of any upcoming event. After all, it was only couple of years ago, when Mr. Zakaria along with other middle eastern analysts when they predicted the collapse of Iranian regime after the election protests. I am still waiting for that to happen!
Hey Fareed, guess what? You are totally irrelevant so get back in your ivory tower and prognosticate
Why the hate?
Jimi, please do everyone a favor and don't leave comments. Fareed may feel elitist to you but that's probably because you're way too into your own thoughts and opinions to respect anyone else's.
since a world of good produces only evil, we need live in a world of evil to produce good.
Would this crappy journalism be published if this guy wasn't the popular ethnic of the current times? What if a guy named John Smith wrote this Jr High shallow crap? CNN should be ashamed of their poor judgement.
Finally Fareed stops talking about something he knows literally nothing about ( the U.S.) and comments on something he does. How in the heck did CNN give this man his own show?
Timote, ur a moron
Assad regime will end sooner than later, Syrians perseverance and courage is impressive.
i like cheese i put cheese on my sandwhich and thats why i like cheese this is what your news writing looks like. assad gots no money and becuase he gots no money he will fail thats why i think that they will fail becuase no money. TAKE A JOURNALIST COURSE OF STUDY
Take a grammar class idiot.
Zakria i hopoe you age enough to see Alasad leave, in your dreams you grand grand grands kis will never see SYRIA fall.
kids*
Sorry, but Assad is not Syria, as it is becoming more apparent day by day. A megalomaniac, perhaps, but he's not the nation himself.
Zakaria has always amazed me. He is obviously Muslim and has a some knowledge of the Middle East, but his analysis is always very superficial. Recently, he has begun to write about foreign affairs issues in North Korea and Burma, areas about which he has zero knowledge. He is an example for the sort of people the media love to blow up into foreign policy experts these days. I might not feel this way were I not an Arabist who spent nearly 30 years in the Middle East.
When are they gonna ship this Indian back home?
When he finishes his next shift, he'll drive his own car back home. Got it? He's an American. If not, then we'd better question whether the Irish, Italians, Spanish, Germans, French, or Polish should all go home too.... maybe even the Brits.
Why is the majority here pinning an individual down for writing about what he thinks will happen to a dictator in the near future? Remember,folks, freedom of speech means we are all free to comment or write about what our mind's construction is about the turn of events on any global issue,without being set as a scape goat afterwards.After all,we must not forget that there is an end to everything.Syria is not a royal kingdom. Assad, as sad as it is inherited the presidency from his father,as the former passed away.That is corruption in its highest bid.The people of Syria are sick and tired of such a dictator and want him to step down.
Zakaria said he thinks the Assad Regime will crumble and fall in about a year or so. Why don't we give him the benefit of the dout,and wait to see what will happen then?
i am 100% syrian and live in syria and i am not sick or tired of Assad; and i dont wat him to step down. i am 22 years old studying in Damascus medical school. and i am a christian.
I am surprised a man of your intelligence comes to this wrong conclusion. Money is not the reason why Assad will fall. The Arab spring is not about money as it was proven in Tunisia, Egypt, Libya as well as Yemen. Money alone will not keep a tyrant in power. This domino affect will soon reach all the autocrats and dictators in the Arab world and all the money in the world will not stop it.
**** Walid
I am surprised a man of your intelligence comes to this wrong conclusion. Money is not the reason why Assad will fall. The Arab spring is not about money as it was proven in Tunisia, Egypt, Libya as well as Yemen. Money alone will not keep a tyrant in power. This domino affect will soon reach all the autocrats and dictators in the Arab world and all the money in the world will not stop it.
Assad holds control of the military because he pays them well.
When they dont get paid, they will stop supporting Assad.
You dont comprehend very well do you.
Well what's to say that Iran won't be willing to continue funneling a small portion of its limitless oil revenue toward Syria in order to keep their government solvent? With the Syrian government being one of the few Middle Eastern countries run by a Shiite government and a key Iranian ally at that, its survival is imperative to Iran's designs on expanding its regional power base. As I'm sure you're more than aware Mr Zakaria, should a key Iranian proxy such as Syria's Assad be overthrown, Iranian interests would suffer lasting damage. If Assad goes, so does his government's overwhelming influence on Lebanon. Should Lebanon go, so goes the support base and military infrastructure of Iran's most powerful military proxy that it wields with great mystique and fanfare and to great effect against the west; Hezbollah. Iran will do everything in its power to keep Hezbollah intact, which is why Assad has the might of Iranian old fields to support him.
Smartest post, like a stallion amomgst ignorant mules
I love how some people on this page are defending Zakaria's use of the word ":disburse" instead of "disperse" - while others are assailing his error as if it is proof of his incompetence. We all make mistakes, especially when the words are so similar in pronunciation. How many of you know the difference between "imminent" and "immanent" or "compliment" and "complement." Even when we do know the difference we all still inadvertently make mistakes. I know the difference between "it's" and "its" and have still typed them wrong on occasion and so have many of you.
Fareed, not sure where to post this, so I'll try this spot....hope you see it.
I travel quite a bit for work, so I religiously downloaded GPS weekly onto my iPhone for viewing on planes, etc.
Now, the video has been cut down to a segment or two. I'm not sure why, but please add me to any protests already in motion. I enjoy GPS the most of all Sunday shows, and I'm really frustrated that it is now less accesable for those of us who travel and watch it on the road offline.
I would like to pursuade you and CNN to put the full video show back on iTunes.
Thanks for your consideration!
Sign me up too, power to the people!!!
Assad still has at least a year if not more left in his regime. The opposition still hasn't gained enough traction to mount any significant impact in removing him or his supporters from power. That however could quickly change with international support and intervention. The Iranians will be doing everything possible to keep Assad in power, Iran's goal of being the "Influence" in the region and illegal smuggling "among other things" is kept in tact by having Assad keeping things "business as usual".
With Turkey now entering the fray with sanctions, things are about to get very interesting. Let's see if Russia follows through and China decides to get involved. If these thing's happen, Syria will topple and Iran will surely be isolated to the point of having no where to turn. Then the real theater starts.
whats so powerful about turkey?....why wasnt turkey invite to the EU meeting recently...oh yea because it was vetoed..twice...Turkey is stupid...thanks these sanction will not hurt syria, really they are hurting themselves..morons
*** Turkey is stupid.........
So was your post.
Turkey is Syrias biggest trading partner, and in case you havent noticed,
they share a common border.
For Turkey to impose sanctions, pushes Syria closer to Iran.
The heat has just been turned up.
Turkey was vetoed by S. cyprus.......
the Syrian government just decided to stop working with the free trade agreement they had with turkey since 2004 and they added taxes on each truck (shipment) that enters syria from turkey, as a result there are more than 500 trailer trucks stuck on the border the same thing is happening along the Jordanian border. that is why Jordan is trying to get out of the Arab league sanctions.
With the oil/gas windfall from Iran and Russia, and the strong backing from China, the world's #2 economy and the open opposition to the sanctions by its immediate neighbors, Iraq and Lebanon, you still think they will suffer from the lack of MONEY?
)) My friend, you are suffering from the lack of something that money can't buy.
AGREED
*** sophie
AGREED
***Must be a "yes" bott.
Dont worry Bozo,
what Russia and China say in public, is much different than what goes on
behind closed doors.
They will do as they are told.
Lebanon is nothing but an Iranian proxy.
This has all been very carefully planned.
Not worried and thank you for the insider information!
Syria and Iran are being isolated.
A confrontation is inevitable.
Who fires the first shot ?
Iran did when it "allowed" demonstrators to attack the British Embassy.
Every civilized country will now quietly pull its diplomats out of Iran.
Somebody figured out the best way to "get" Iran was to destabilize Syria.
Great plan.
i would say first that any thing said her should be based on logic and reason the first law in any universty. second i like to say that usa isent the leading economic or technological nation any moore. it dosent have a spaceshuttle or spacecraft any moore and china is the only country that has a spacestation in space in 2011. and for economics china has surpassed the usa in manufacturing in nominal gdp dollars and its export is larger. but i think usa will remove assad my the end of this week because usa has a very large number of f-16 and f-15 somthing like 1500 in number it has a military and it will use it to get ride of any body that it dosent like and any body that dosent like the usa. usa will also usa it military to get its respect from other countrys it cannot win in the summer olympics any longer and it isent the largest economy any longer and it has fallen far behind in technology like space technology and computers. but usa will always always be top dog because it has a lot lot of air supiorety. and fareed keep up the good work always watching u on saturday with a pepsi and chilling on the sofa.
Crowds "disperse," they don't "disburse."
As a consultant to the Obama administration, how can you feel right about writing articles for CNN
the syrian leader should begin to negociate his departial,if he leave now he be able to keep his money
and go to a country where he can enjoyit.but if he stay he go down in the dust.
Any human who watch what barberic scene and acts committed By Assad regime would condemn that idiot dictator who have no brain and no human feeling. This idiot became an ophthalmologist by his father power. Can we imagine a man with IQ of 30 became a president of syria by the virtue of his father the dictator and the mislead Alawite and their collaborators. Still it is a good time for Alawite to abandon this dictotor otherwise they would have to loose so much and many generation to come or they lost syria and the respect of the world forever.
kos omahatkum ya shiie3a ya nawar ya ghajar, ya weld al kelab ya shiie3a weld al mot3a , the shiia in iran and syria are allied with hizboallah the terrorists evil those triods IRAN-SYRIA-HIZBOALLAH are the most dangerous evil cult in this earth and they must end the world must stop them in any price....get red of syria first before attacking iran .....iran must fall
what a surprise! I read many coments sounds like unhappy angry kids.Farid's coment is his own,who cares if any one agree with him. yes he flip flap so often,so poletics too,whats new here you cry babys,you don't have to here what you need to here always.
I base my decisions and opinions on the latest events and information I have available. If you wake up everyday and say you are going to have exactly the same ideas and opinions you had yesterday regardless of what happens there is no point in gathering any new facts, there is no need to watch the news (you've already made up your mind), there is no reason to get an education (information gained in a classroom won't alter your future actions), and you aren't going to be of much use to the rest of us if you have opinions that never change. I've worked with people like you and you'll usually find yourself warehoused somewhere while others deal with the changing world and run the company.
If the traffic light says "Walk" and I step out on the curb, you can bet I'm going to get back on that curb if I see a big bus bearing down on me. If you still think that makes me a flip-flopper I'll be glad to explain it further, but you really won't have much interest in what I'm saying while you're lying under the bus, waiting for the paramedics.
What exactly do the crowds "disburse"? I know, nitpicky, but I'm an editor. Should be "disperse."
They disburse the money that Syria doesn't have, duh.
Quote: "Remember, Syria is not an oil regime."
Now it makes sense why Syria can kill many more people than Libya while NATO (especially the Euros) turns a blind eye.
Syria is not killing "peaceful" protestors as advertised in the media. The Syrian forces are fighting armed islamist extremists and the killings are on both sides. NATO should be helping the Syrian governement so the extremists don't take over the country.
Zakaria: Why I now think Assad will fall – because you're slow?
I look forward to his countrymen laying their hands on him. I hope he spends what will seem like a really long life in their custody. Long live Assad!
I live in US and went to Pakistan. I stayed there for two weeks. I did not went to any public place or mosque due to terror scare. I find lot of people are struggling with there business due to terror and electric power shortage issues. No investment is coming in Pakistan due to terror scare. The people over there have conspiracy theories that it is done by USA. This was my observation during the stay. Pakistan is in a war kind situation from last five years with taliban minded people.
Now some facts in last five years the terrorist are attacking pakistan army, isi, navy installation and personnel regularly. This can be validated easily that include life and wealth loss. Most of Afghanistan is still controlled by Taliban – is pakistan responsible for that.
In US when I see the media they are talking around " pakistan army and isi is managing all terrorist activities". That is the conclusion of all commentators. In Pakistan media the commentators ( make public opinion) have completely different view which makes US responsible for all that.
I am not sure what is wrong but definitely it is a problem. My suggestion is Pakistan should not be allied with US and if so there should be transparent mechanism to have that relation trusted. In US some part of Govt says something bad and then white house do not endorse that. They should be on the same frequency.
TURKISH POWER.....ship.
Fareed: You need to stop relying entirely on your spellchecker. Crowds don't "disburse," they disperse.
Now that it lookes like extremist Muslim Brotherhood is taking Egypt maybe we the same thing will happen in Lybia and Syria? This democracy movement was really great if you love exrtremists. Played right into their hands again.
You know why will fall Assad?
He went to far and pass the point of no return.
You're a great analyst. However, crowds don't disburse when threatenen. Instead, they often disperse.
Ken, Your fears are misplaced and delusional. Please stop listening to the rich conservative garbage designed to help you forget who is really screwing you up the a hole, your favorite elitist class that pay politicians to scare simple minded people (here is where you fit in) on everything but one thing, where all the wealth is (here is where you don’t fit in).
Yours Truly,
The Elite.
Zakaria does not know anything.Asaad is still supported by the rich businessmen from Damascus and Aleppo. They support him because these businessmen are secular minded and include, Armenians and Christians with western values and secularism. Once Asaad is toppled, Syria will become just Moslem country with Mullah at the helm ala Iran. This will prompt immediate exit of Christians and the Armenians. Where can they go? Most have relatives in Canada. Canada can absorb them.
Mr. Zakaria,
It is not about who will falls or when, in the Middle East but about who is coming to replace and how.
The Arabic Spring that started in Tunisia and reached Syria has one common factor or 'symptom', i.e. Islamic movement domination. This is a direct clear, sound and strong message to the secular Arab parties who failed the people for the past six decades due to their lack of governance to face the military power in their countries.
People are fed up with empty slogans that neither did protect them from sickness or poverty nor helped them resolve their economic or education problems. All they got from their military leaders and the secular parties who were playing the political game was complete failure in every aspect, even militarily.
When the West promoted the idea of exporting democracy and freedom to these Arab countries, the first outcome was the call for free elections, and when the people are hurt by their rulers and politicians for long decades, they would accept anyone new and would sign pact even with the devil.
The bottom line is that the secular power in the Middle East region is defeated for one reason or another and the only winners are the Islamists and their radical religious parties, and let’s hope not to include the fundamentalists in this equation!
disburse? you mean disperse.. right? money disburses, people disperse.
Probably should have looked at the recent comments before I said the same thing. Props.
kill yourself
I will say Shalom and Amen !!
No, he will not fall. Wait until US bill for detention of individuals by Army is signed by Obama into law. Assad can round up all those dancing on streets branding them as Al-Qaeda sympathizers and send them to US for holding them at Gitmo. He will be president for rest of his life, thanks to Stupid senators who voted for the bill. Congrats Assad, enjoy your dictatorship.
Just would like to point out that in the opening paragraph, the editor made a boo-boo and missed the usage of "disburse", which means to give out, when it should be "disperse", which means to scatter.
Farid is like every person that have tried to predict or fully understand politics in the ME will be wrong more often than right. Unfortunately, this makes peace almost impossible. Just look at Egypt – they managed to take down moubarak and now a new crazy power is taking over .. and they had to re-revolt in less than 6 months.
Fareed Zakaria needs a GPS because he is lost, does not know where he is and knows a little if anything!
تاجر عراقي يساعد اليابان في التخلص من سلع فوكوشيما المميتة عبر تصديرها للعراق
05-06-2011 | (صوت العراق) – اربيل 5حزيران /يونيوPNA ـ بدأت مركبات وسلع ملوثة بالأشعة التي انبعثت من الكارثة النووية التي ألمّت باليابان منتصف شهر آذار الماضي تتدفق على العراق عن طريق المنافذ البحرية والبرية، تجار أمريكان ضالعون بالقضية تلك حيث يتم تحويل Sotaliraq.comمسار الشحنات لتسجل بأنها وارد أميركي أي
قد استوردت من أميركا وتشحن إلى العراق بالاتفاق مع تجار عراقيين مقيمين في أميركا، وفيها نسبة من الإشعاع تعد مضرة جدا بالمستخدمين.
مصدر موثوق، أكد أن أكثر من عشرة أطنان من المواد والسلع الكهربائية والمنزلية وآلات صغيرة كهربائية قد انتشرت في الأسواق العراقية مع بداية هذا الشهر،وبطل هذه الصفقة تاجر عراقي مقيم في أميركا منذ عام 1992 حاصل على الجنسية الأميركية، اسمه أحمد الشافي، ولديه شركة تخليص كمركي، فروعها في الإمارات العربية المتحدة، والأردن، وتركيا، وأميركا، واليابان .
المصدر، أكد أن بحوزته وثائق وأوراق توريد للشحنات تلك تؤكد أن مصدرها اليابان وقد جمعت قبل شهرين تقريبا ومرت بالموانئ الأميركية القريبة من اليابان لتخرج نحو العراق بسمات تسجيل وتوريد أميركية يزيل الشكوك من أنها جاءت من منطقة ملوثة أو مصابة بكارثة نووية .
أكثر من 600 مركبة أدخلت نهاية الشهر الماضي وكلها جاءت من اليابان وهي الأخرى ملوثة أيضا أو أصابها ضرر التسرب النووي الذي فتك بمدن يابانية اثر الزلازل التي ضربت اليابان خلال تلك الفترة .
،الصفقة كانت مربحة جدا وستليها صفقات أخرى وهنالك تسهيلات كبيرة من قبل كبار مسؤولين لهم شراكة في العملية تلك ،ومن المتوقع أن يتم إدخال أكثر من 1000 طن من قطع غيار المركبات وكلها ملوثة أيضا لأنها قد تعرضت للإشعاعات النووية المتسربة من المفاعل اليابانية المتضررة.
هذه السلع ستدخل العراق بأوراق تسجيل إماراتية بعد أن ترسو في الموانئ الإماراتية، وفي تلك الدولة سيتم تغيير خط سير الشحنة ليثبت أنها جاءت من كوريا أو الصين .
مدينة فوكوشيما التي تعرضت للكارثة النووية، أصبحت شبه خربة ويهجرها سكانها تدريجيا بسبب التلوث النووي ،تاركين خلفهم كل السلع والأغراض التي يملكونها فيما يتم جمعها ووضعها في حاويات عملاقة لطمرها أو معالجتها ،ولارتفاع كلف علاجها تتحول إلى مدن أخرى بصفقات تجارية فاسدة ويحول بعضها إلى العراق.
كما أدخلت مسبقا كميات من هذه المواد والسلع الملوثة إلى العراق ومن بينها شحنة إطارات فوكشيما حديثة الصنع لكنها ملوثة بالمواد المشعة. المصدر جريدة المستقبل العراقي. م / م/
wakka wakka wakkaa!
I have always had respect for Mr Zakaria. His admission that he was wrong is case in point. Actually, Mr. Zakaria was not very wrong because Assad has persevered thus far. That said, I hope to live long enough to see the end of this struggle. Will a democracy emerge in Syria (very doubtful), or will the "Salafists" (the West & Israel's nightmare) emerge as the new dictators (most likely outcome)? In other words, how smart is the West & Israel in putting their support behind Assad's ouster? These are interesting times.
Zakaria: Why I now think Assad will fall
or
Assad : Why I now think Zakaria will fall
I would not have thought twice about the valued remarks had any had been about Assad.
The results of the writing of this article and the comments is that there can be no winners.
If there are truely no winners then it is also true the comments are not true discussions.
Since there are no discussions, there is no possibility of thinking.
Summary people love dictators since they don't have to made decisions, people also love democracy since they don't have to make decisions.
As you can see no winners, no thinking, no decisions, and we are left with comments.
Flip flopper! Even I can be a Nostradamus if you let me change my mind!
The Syrian government is not going to run out of money because they are backed by the Iranian government which has plenty of money. So, Zakaria is wrong about that. Assad will fall for the same reason that dictators fall: a dictator can't kill everyone who opposes him, and sooner or later, killing the opposition creates more opposition. Watch for someone inside Assad's regime to assassinate him.
Zakaria does not know anything..! he is trying his best to keep his job...!!!
Fareed: "Crowds disburse"? NO, Banks disburse; Crowds disperse.
Good one, Jack!
بعد احتلال العراق في التاسع من نيسان عام 2003 كشفت احداث ما بعد الاحتلال حجم الماكنه الايرانيه التي حصدت عشرات الالاف من ارواح العراقيين عندما دخلت عناصر المجلس الاعلى ومنظمة بدر بعد التاسع من نيسان وسيطرت على كل مؤسسات الدوله ومعها دخلت مجاميع المخابرات الايرانيه المتمثله بقوة القدس واوجدت لها مخالب في اغلب محافظات العراق واشرفت قوة القدس على تصفية ضباط الجيش العراقي والطياريين والاجهزه الامنيه والكوادر البعثيه ...
واستطاعت ايران من خلال احزابها المجلس الاعلى والدعوه والفضيله ان تؤسس لعمل تخريبي واسع في العراق من خلال 500 شركه ومؤسسه كواجهات استخباريه يشرف عليها الجنرال" قاسم سليماني" وتتوزع هذه الواجهات في كل المحافظات حصة بغداد وحدها 50 واجهه مدعومه بملايين الدولارات وتعتبر "مؤسسة شهيد المحراب" التابعه للمجلس الاعلى من اهم المؤسسات الاستخباريه والقتاليه ويديرها عمار الحكيم وما مرصود لها من الاموال شهريا يتراوح من ( 15 – 20 ) مليون دولار شهريا ويصرف هذا المبلغ على شكل دفعات بلغت ذروتها في عمليات الاباده الجماعيه التي قامت بها مليشيات بدر وجيش المهدي عام 2006 -2007 وباشراف مباشر من قبل ابو مهدي المهندس ( نائب ) في البرلمان العراقي والمساعد الاول للجنرال " قاسم سليماني" ..
المعلومات //
ــــــــــــــــــــــــــ
وردتنا معلومات عن حلقات المخطط الايراني للسيطره على العراق ما قبل وما بعد الانسحاب الامريكي من العراق والمخطط ذو شقين :
الاول / القيام بحمله واسعه من الاعتقالات تشمل البعثيين وقيادتهم وضباط الجيش السابقين والاجهزه الامنيه السابقه وفي جميع المحافظات والتركيز على محافظات ( الانبار \ صلاح الدين \ نينوى \ ديالى ) وصدرت التوجيهات الايرانيه الى رئيس وزراء حكومة الاحتلال نوري المالكي لتنفيذها فورا تحت سنياريو ايراني مرسوم عنوانه ( معلومات عن عملية انقلاب يقوم بها البعثيون وضباط الجيش العراقي السابق ( وبدعم من دول الخليج العربي ) ..
سارع المجلس الاعلى \ منظمة بدر \ وبتوجيه ايراني للتعامل مع هذا السناريو من خلال سلسلة من المعلومات التي تصب في هذا الهدف ..
ادناه نص المعلومات التي رفعتها منظمة بدر الى التحالف مع توجيهات الى عناصرها ومصادرها لمتابعة هذه المعلومات المفبركه
● كتاب موجه من منظمة بدر الى فروعها في العراق بتاريخ 26 \ 10 \ 2011 وهذا نصه :
( مجموعه كبيره من قواعد وانصار حزب البعث وصلوا الى العراق وبدعم من حركة الوفاق الوطني ( العراقيه ) لتشكيل تنظيم قوي باسم ( مغاوير البعث ) لكن بنفس الافكار في محافظات الموصل والانبار وتكريت واعلان تلك المحافظات قواعد امنيه لهم حتى يشنوا تحركاتهم وحربهم ضد العمليه السياسيه من تلك المناطق لذا يتم اخبار مصادركم عن هذه المعلومه واخبارنا بالسرعه الممكنه ) ..
● كتاب موجهه الى اللجنه الامنيه للتحالف الوطني بتاريخ 2 \ 11 \ 2011 وهذا نصه :
( حصل مكتب الجهاز المركزي لمنظمة بدر على معلومات تشير عودة العناصر البعثيه لازلام النظام البائد مطلوبه ومحاربه للعمليه السياسيه في البلد من الدول اليمن سوريا ليبيا وقد تم توجيهها للسكن في المحافظات الموصل والانبار وديالى وتكريت وستقوم مكاتبنا في المحافظات المذكوره لمتابعة الموضوع واخبارنا بالتفاصيل
اخباركم تفاصيل اكثر .. تقبلوا فائق اشكر والتقدير
تحدث نوري المالكي" كاذبا " قبل اصدار اوامره للجيش والاجهزه الامنيه بشن حملة اعتقالات واسعه شملت كافة محافظات العراق واشار ان المعلومات وردت الى الاجهزه الامنيه من سوريا وليبيا بوجود مخطط انقلاب على الحكومه تنفذه عناصر بعثيه وضباط من الجيش العراقي السابق
الشق الثاني //
1- يتبنى فيلق القدس الايراني عمليات التصفيات الجسديه وتشمل سياسيين كبار ومسؤولين كبار مشاركين في العمليه السياسيه وصدرت التوجهيات الى ابو ( مهدي المهندس ) المسؤول المباشر عن المجاميع الخاصه في العراق المرتبطه بفيلق القدس الايراني للتواجد في العراق للاشراف على تنفيذ العمليات وبدعم معلوماتي ولوجستي من قبل حكومة المالكي .
2- صدرت توجيهات ايرانيه الى المجلس الاعلى \ منظمة بدر \ بالتهيأ للقيام بواجبات خاصه بعد الانسحاب الامريكي من العراق وخاصة في محافظات \ الانبار \ الموصل \ صلاح الدين \ نينوى \ ديالى
على ضوء هذا التوجيه عممت منظمة بدر توجيهات الى الى كافة الفروع في المحافظات وادناه نص الكتاب الموجه بتاريخ 30 \ 10 \ 2011
● ( بناءا على توجيهات امين عام منظمة بدر الموقر تقرر اعادة هيكلة منظمة بدر بشكلها السابق بشكل قطعات عسكريه على شكل فروع لممارسة دورها في المرحله المقبله ما بعد الانسحاب الامريكي وادخال كافة عناصرها بدورات عسكريه خاصه بحرب الشوارع والمدن وبدون استثناء وكل كافة انواع الاسلحه وتقديم جرد كامل بكافة الاعضاء الحضور ومقدار تسليحهم واحتياجالتهم بما يتناسب بالمرحله المقبله ونرجو من الاخوه كافة الالتزام بالموضوع وبدقه ولكم فائق الشكر والتقدير ....
نسخه منه الى \ مديرية التدريب العسكري
وحدة الضباط لبدر )
موقع
ابو مريم الانصاري
● كتاب صادر من منظمة بدر بتاريخ 22 \10 \2011 والموجه الى الجهاز المركزي الخاص بالتصفيات الجسديه وهذا نصه :
( كتابكم المرقم 986 في 19 \10 \2011
(الاهداف المذكوره في كتابكم عناصر بعثيه مخابراتيه مطلوبه لنا وتتخذ من محافظة الانبار سكنا لها وملجأ لتنفيذ مآربها ولقائتها منذ سقوط النظام ولليوم وتم تزويد مصدرنا في الانبار بمعرفة اماكن دورهم وتواجدهم وتحركاتهم )
انتهى
● كتاب موجه من قيادة منظمة بدر بتاريخ 22 \ 10 \ 2011 موجه الى الشورى المركزيه لمنظمة بدر هذا نصه :
( يتم النظر بقرار تجميد اللجان الخاصه المرقم 1042 في 6 \ 3 \ 2011 يراسه الاخ ابو هشام الاحمدي وتسليفها ودفع الامكانيات اللازمه لها لغرض وقوفها الى جانب القوى الاخرى في المرحله المقبله بما فيها لجان المتابعه السريه وتصفية العناصر المعاديه )
موقع
ابو علي الهاشمي
المعلومات التي حصلنا عليها ومن مصادر موثوقه جدا ان المرحله الحاليه التي اسمتها ايران بالضربه الاستباقيه للقوى الوطنيه وضباط الجيش العراقي السابق والبعثيين ونفذها رئيس حكومة الاحتلال نوري المالكي ترافقها عمليات اجراميه كبيره اعد خطتها فيلق القدس الايراني وباشراف " ابو مهدي المهندس " الذي يتواجد حاليا في العراق ويتنقل بحريه محميا من قبل حكومة المنطقه الخضراء لتنفيذ العمليات الاجراميه
1- القيام بعمليات تصفيات واسعه في محافظة بغداد وديالى والانبار تشمل المعارضين للمشروع الايراني .
2- العمل على اعادة الاقتتال الطائفي والبدء بعملية التهجير الطائفي من خلال سلسلة من التفجيرات تطال مناطق شعبيه واسواق شعبيه في المحافظات السنيه ترافقها حملة تصفيات جسديه وبدعم حكومي لاحداث حاله على الارض تسعى الاحزاب المرتبطه بايران منذ فتره لتطبيقها وهي فصل اقضيه ونواحي من محافظات سنيه وضمها الى محافظات شيعيه ومنها مدينة بغداد .
3- هيأت ايران قوات مدربه على حرب الشوارع والاختطاف وهي قوات من الحرس الثوري وقوات الباسيج ترابط حاليا قرب الحدود العراقيه الايرانيه في كل من قاطع محافظة " ميسان " " ديالى " " الكوت " ستدخل افواج من هذه القوه بعد الانسحاب الامريكي وتتمركز في مناطق حزام بغداد الجنوبي .
4- اعدت ايران خطه لدخول اعداد كبيره من عناصر القاعده المرتبطه بايران وستدخل هذه العناصر من المنطقه الشماليه وتحديدا عبر محافظة السليمانيه وتتوزع هذه المجاميع في محافظة التاميم – كركوك والمناطق المحيطه بها وصولا الى منطقة الخالص في محافظة ديالى وتدخل مجاميع اخرى باتجاه محافظة صلاح الدين وستقوم بتنفيذ عمليات تفجيرات واسعه في المناطق المذكوره تطال مناطق تسكنها " الشيعه " ..
لما تقدم اعلاه نوجه نداء الى فصائل المقاومه العراقيه والقوى الوطنيه وشيوخ العشائر بالانتباه الى المخطط الايراني الخبيث الذي تنفذه حكومة نوري المالكي واحزاب ايران وبتواطأ من قبل شيوخ عشائر وسياسيين واشخاص في المحافظات المذكوره استهواهم الدولار والتومان وما يغدقه عليهم المالكي من اموال ومن مناصب على حساب عروبتهم وعراقيتهم وابناء جلدتهم ليصبحوا جسرا يؤمن دخول اتباع ايران وحرسها الثوري ومليشيات الاحزاب الى مناطقهم وتقديم المعلومات لهم وقد وردت هذه الاشاره في التوجيهات التي اصدرتها منظمة بدر لاتباعها
I like Fareed's head. Looks like a firby.
Just like that sorry ass father of his,we will all be glad to see him go.
Fareed, just a heads-up on a typographical error:
Pretty sure you meant "disperse" – not "disburse," in the first paragraph.
The biggest reason is that Syrian people are more educated than any other Muslim countries. They know Syria is not the personal property of Assads.
i miss you NAN. take me and not Fareed
Assad will fall when the people are no longer afraid of him. That seems like it is starting to happen
I mean, really.....
it does not matter if Assad falls or not. should he fall there is another 10 million like him. it will be only change of name ,everything else will be the same. Death, hate, abuse, terror and destruction will alway be part of moslum religious. the best thing is to leave the moslim world alone ,they have enough hate toward everyone and even more between themselves that they will destroy one another when there is no outsider.
"Crowds disburse; people stop gathering."
"But a big reason I think the Assad regime will fall is simple: It's running out of money."
Maybe the regime can get more money from the "disbursing" crowds.
It's "disperse"
You speak in the level of 1st graders, or cartoons story
Here is an observation: the keys words in Zakaria's article deal with the most important element in this drama - the people! "They keep protesting. They keep organizing. And it appears that the Syrian security forces are actually suffering significant setbacks." That is what is fascinating and what we tend to forget ... these big changes are brought about by populations, not diplomats, state visits, or commentaries by folks on K Street.
I do not really agree with the author. Follow his logic, the incidence of police using pepper spray on students would suggest the same thing to US gov.from his the other article on Parkistan,it occurs to me he does not have enough info on the topic and is over simplistic.How would people like you if u send choppers to yr country without permission and bomb your facilities? The issues is much more complicated than the mafia example used.
And let's hope he iends up dead as well so the world won't have to go through the agony of a trial.
the aruba judge of van der sloot father, with the stein phoney prosecuto, local hospital crooksm and maybe credit union fronts to banking bagging of money including a few po.lice crooks are the murder rings. they only used to offer low insurance benefit payments for travel insurance but they went into exhorbitant plans to murder sawindle it behind the scenes like all those thosands of cases in windsor with chinese and twenty or more lawyers on hospital and other bads service records. in airline accidents such as the boeing brazil crash victim's families were handed 2000 each to cancel out their rights to the huge travel insurance claims. same with other bad case deaths and injury ithink that is a dutch in dies area related to dutch based group 4 security co of hospitals which has chinese partners. i don't know why there is so much insurance money to get still – the money well seems bottomless. you sabotaged the date – it is the 3rd today of december saturday. papers don't print on sunday and the stack was still full
Hmm !! Zakaria thinks Asad will fall. I think saudi and jordan will fall before Syria !!
lol it is just funny that he said Syria is running out of money lol. it is a country with 25 million population they pay taxes and all utility bills are government money. plus the regiem has been in power for 40 years stupid who thinks that they were not preparing themselves for something like this. ooo one more thing Syria is one of the richest countries in the middle east (rich= the country is but its population no).
Good Morning.
Syria has money. Assad has $450 trillion from sale natural resources to Germany.
Thanks
Sam Rupani
Fareed, are you still a consultant for the Obama White House? If so, don't you see this as a conflict of interest ?
I like turtles
Good article Zakaria, keep up the good work.
The Arab spring comes in as a lion , behaves as a lion and will leave as a lion . Why do i have bad premonitions as to the outcome .
Mr. Zakaria,
To survivie, In despiration Assad might attack Israel. What do you think of that possibility, and how might such an attack factor in your assessment of Assad's ability to survive?
JUST How long can a government that tortures children to death last??? Thats what i want know???
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