Editor's Note: The following is an excerpt of Arvind Subramanian's new book, Eclipse: Living in the Shadow of China's Economic Dominance, published by the Peterson Institute for International Economics.
By Arvind Subramanian - Special to CNN
February 2021. It is a cold, blustery morning in Washington. The newly inaugurated Republican president of the United States is on his way to the office of the Chinese managing director of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) to sign the agreement under which the IMF will provide $3 trillion in emergency financing (about 12 percent of GDP) to the United States and the conditionality to which the United States will have to adhere.
Over the preceding decade, the US economy has had to contend with three interconnected problems: slow growth, a fragile fiscal situation, and a beleaguered middle class. Under the weight of public and private debt accumulated after the crisis of 2008–10, high and persistent unemployment, and diminished participation in the labor force, the US economy has grown at just below 2 percent in the 2010s. As a consequence, and despite intermittent attempts to come to grips with the rising costs of entitlements, especially related to health care, public finances are not on fundamentally secure footing.
Public-sector liabilities have built up to 50 percent of GDP, as Peter Boone and Simon Johnson warned a decade ago, because the US financial system has remained as cavalier in its risk-taking and as toxic-asset-laden in its balance sheets as before the financial crisis of 2008–10. And inequality has increased even further, with income gains at the very top (.01 percent of the population) becoming even larger. Economic and social mobility have declined, giving rise to a middle class that understandably does not want to move down the skill spectrum but whose prospects of moving up, through education and skill acquisition, are increasingly limited by competition from India and China.
At the same time, China, despite the slump of 2012–13, has recovered its growth momentum and is economically dominant: Its trade and GDP are nearly 50 percent larger than those of the United States, and it remains the largest bankroller to the world with the United States still its largest bankrollee. The renminbi is increasingly in demand as a reserve currency, and the sheen has come off the dollar.
In the months preceding the 2020 US election, inflation became the primary global problem because commodity and oil prices soared due to rapid growth in the emerging markets. Growth in the United States has slowed, threatening to further expose the fiscal and financial sector vulnerabilities.
Rumors are swirling in global financial markets that China is planning to wield its financial power because it can no longer countenance substantial US naval presence on the Indian and Pacific Oceans. The dollar is under intense pressure and China has reinforced that pressure by selling some of its $4 trillion worth of reserves. The dreaded dollar collapse is imminent. Bond markets have turned on US government paper, the country has been stripped of its AAA rating, and investors are suddenly absent from US Treasury auctions.
To maintain confidence, the US Federal Reserve has raised interest rates sharply—much more than it might have had to when it enjoyed the “exorbitant privilege” of the dollar as the world’s near-exclusive reserve currency. The United States has started to face the dilemma that many developing countries faced during the Asian financial crisis of the late 1990s: While necessary to keep inflation in check and maintain confidence in the currency, higher interest rates are threatening growth and hurting the viability of the financial sector. US debt dynamics look ominous because interest rates substantially exceed growth rates. Significant economic and social costs loom. America, in short, appears like any emerging-market country.
Cheap financing is the need of the hour—especially since the loss of confidence is related to fiscal sustainability, as many advanced economies discovered years earlier (Iceland, Greece, and Ireland in 2010 and 2011 and Spain and Portugal in 2012). The oil-rich countries have refused to extend emergency financing to the United States, because the friendly autocrats of yore have all been replaced by “illiberal democrats” (to use Fareed Zakaria’s phrase) of various Islamic persuasions, moderate to extreme, with long memories of US intervention in the Middle East. The IMF seems the only option left.
The presidential motorcade reaches the plush IMF headquarters, but the leader of the free world has not arrived alone. Because the elections of 2020 resulted in divided government, the managing director has insisted that, to reassure the financial markets of the credibility of the IMF loan-cum-conditionality package, US congressional leaders of both parties be present to signal that bipartisan legislative approval for the package will be forthcoming.
(The United States, however, is able to resist pressure that the chief justice of the Supreme Court, representing the remaining branch of government, also be present.)
China—which is now the largest contributor to IMF resources and, pursuant to the reform of the IMF’s voting structure in 2018, now has veto power at the Fund—makes the removal of US naval bases from the Western Pacific introduction a precondition for the United States to receive the financing necessary to make its debt dynamics sufficiently stable to satisfy bond markets. This precondition has bite because China can easily get a majority of IMF members—beneficiaries of Chinese trade and financial largesse—to block a US financing program. The terms of the IMF program are clear, onerous, and delicately balanced between tax increases and expenditure reductions and are therefore equally distasteful to Republicans and Democrats. The US government must introduce a national value-added tax, restore the highest marginal tax rate to 40 percent, institute means testing for Medicare and Social Security benefits, and substantially reduce defense expenditures. The president grimly accepts.
Under the calm gaze of the managing director and flanked by leaders of both houses of Congress, he signs the letter of intent that elaborates the terms and conditions of IMF financing.
This scene of stark symbolism is relayed instantaneously around the globe. It is eerily reminiscent of 1998, when with arms crossed and a smug expression, West-embodying IMF Managing Director Michel Camdessus watched as Indonesian President Suharto signed off on an IMF program and, in the eyes of Asia, signed away sovereignty and self-respect. Except that the roles have been reversed. The handover of world dominance is complete.
“Is this scenario merely fantasy, or could it actually play out in the not-too-distant future?” asks economist Arvind Subramanian in his new book, Eclipse: Living in the Shadow of China's Economic Dominance. “The economic dominance of China relative to the United States is more imminent (it may already have begun), will be more broad-based (covering wealth, trade, external finance, and currency), and could be as large in magnitude in the next 20 years as that of the United Kingdom in the halcyon days of empire or the United States in the aftermath of World War II.”
© 2012 Cable News Network. Turner Broadcasting System, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
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First!
Lol! Good job, Joe!
Well done Joe. You remind me of one of those child posters from Failblog. Did she died Joe?
A Chinese managing director of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) could be reality. Whether the U.S. would be in such dire straits and needed to borrow $3 trillion from the IMF urgently were yet to be seen. In order for the Chinese yuan to become an international reserve currency, it has to be part of the IMF's Special Drawing Right, a quasi currency used within the IMF by its member states. In order to let it happen, the central government in Beijing has to loosen its grip on the yuan. Would it? That the American president's signature would only be valid if he signed an important letter of intent flanked by leaders of both houses of Congress, is no doubt a scary and humiliating scenario. Let's hope it just remains a movie script.
Why would President Obama slightly bow and look down when he shook his hands with Chinese President?
Too tall. If he gets to be re-elected, the Chinese should really make an effort and get them a tall president. If one of those coucou republicans win, he'll probably try to invade China the morning after so no problem there.
Wrong! The reason why Oba Mao was bowing in the picture is because he wanted to see if Hu was democratically erected.
Bowing and looking down is a show of respect. It it is the same thing as a western firm handshake. All of out presidents have done it.....or it means he is really a commie! Maybe when the Fox News generation is dead and buried, the Republicans will finally grown up.
I agree with this scenario to the T with on exception – the date. It will be closer than 2020. We are looking at a timeline along 2015 or so when we will see this kind of thing unfold up to a point. It will start with China dumping its dollar reserves in favor of its own when the losses of keeping dollar reserves out weigh dumping it.
Chicken fried rice at half the price is twice as nice in china.
Why do people want to compete with a over populated, congested , polluted dirty place. Be happy for them but don't aspire to be them. I don't want my country to become a china syndrome.
China is just heavily populated but their is lots of land hello? It his improving and booming. shame on you
And here I thought I would be reading a well written article with a lot of arguments.
But no, just another doomsday-america-ASAP with nothing to base it's assumptions on.
Stuff like this is what gets moderates elected, not partisan deadlockers like we have in congress right now.
But seriously, tune down on the doomsday-USA. I've seen and heard it already...really...
Seems unlikely as many factors have to take place before this happens, First it must be taken into account that the U.S is not the only one with problems, for examples our problems are countered by China's own problems, China's economy is growing, but it relies on consumer economies, like the U.S, if we go down they go down. Not to mention China's overpopulation which causes more problems than solutions, on the short run this has helped its booming economy, but it will soon be on the tough spot feeding its population, as its fertile lands become deserts and toxic wastes. We here in America have an abundance of food, which on an elementary state is what creates a society and so a prosperous civilization. All Economies have growth, and recession, and with Chinas huge growth there will be a huge recession, and perhaps a depression. In my opinion China is just burning its fuel much more quickly than the U.S, and even thought it may have more due to its size, it wont last much longer at this rate.
"Will China eclipses America?" Typo on the home page link to this article.
With the scandal that is the republican obstructionism of President Obama's legislation, ANY legislation, and the appalling circus freak spectacle the would be challengers are making, this scenario isn't that far fetched. Looking from outside, it's painful to watch, and very alarming.
The only caveat here is that China is still dependent on the US, and if the US sinks, it will take Europe with it, which will take down practically every other country out there, including China. China isn't yet capable of sustaining itself alone, it needs the world, and the world is very dependent on the US, and the US is more and more dependent on China. take one leg and the whole structure collapses.
Their monolithic, repressive, primordial government will lead them into the abyss, as such governments always do. Their centralized economy is not and cannot adapt quickly enough to deal with a rapidly fluxuating market; they've propped themselves up with massive spending and an insustainable construction bubble that's bound to come crashing down on them.
You sound like another typical American kwok head who's been fed BS all your life. Instead of worrying China collapsing, shouldn't you be worrying whether you will have a retirement and your unemployment check will continue to come?
We would easily spring past China, were we not in the thrall Israel.
We must not fight another war for Israel, this way we can loom large above China, both morally and financially.
End zionist manuevering.
Seems to me like nothing short of an American caesar could avert a scenario like this. Either way, we're screwed!
Great Emperor Tang Taizong and other great emperors of China often emphasize Empire's Virtue; they think a great empire should assist other small countries for world justice. It is China's tradition. In privately emperors might not think so, but at least all open records are this. 2000 years foreign relation policy of China is similar to the US after WWII, but not likeness to Europe's. Besides there is no racism, no religious discrimination (99.9% time) and no color question in the tradition of Chinese empire.
In 1368 China forbad any form slave system forever. In 18 and 19 century, sub human European made 25 million African black salves, 1/3 were tortured to die in Europe's ships. Before 1861, the US bought most African black salves, but is still the third largest slavery country.
Immoral Britain and France tortured most African black slaves in Africa, and invaded Asia brutally. It is worst record on violating human right in world history. After severe strives by some great free fighters such as Ganghi (1869-1948), Ho Chi Minh (1890-1969) and assisted by justice Asian countries, at last free countries defeated evil (slavery) countries, and get precious freedom.
(In 1955, some seats could not be sat by blacks in the US; and Obama's grandfather was tortured in Kenya's jail. From 1955 to now that is not long; apology and compensation both have not done; insulting words and distorting history are still occurring.)
"...sub human European..." "Besides there is no racism...in the tradition of Chinese empire."
That is absolute nonsense. China is now, and has been in the past, one of the most racist (and religiously intolerant) places of all time. Hsiao, you and Maersk are very representative of very much of China. And you both are thoroughly
repulsive.
China is an over-reaching, smug, dictatorship. It is also an overpopulated disaster just waiting to happen.
The evil event could happen for African people, it also could happen to other Asian people. So some Asian countries must be harsh to manage their country for protect their people from foreign invasion, the suffering memory is still existing.
After 2040, a lot of scholars and activities in justice dominant power would demand justice and human right for other suffering countries: Suffering African countries would get dignity and compensation from immoral European countries; 100,000 died Iraqi civilian would get apology and compensation, too. 2 million Vietnamese who suffered from Agent Orange (evilest chemical weapon) would also get compensation.
However, it is a great book, a spectacular prediction for about 2020 which is not impossible (might happen in 2030). Then: in 2022, GDP of Russia, India and Brazil should surpass Italy, Britain and France. In 2024-2029, China (Mainland China + ROC Taiwan + Hong Kong) might surpass the US on GDP. In 2032, Indonesia, (United) Korea and Mexico should surpass Italy, Britain and France, too. After 2020 the more spectacular world might just begin.
I'm not sure about the 2020 date.
US has bad international advisors guiding them how to deal with Afghanistan .....such as India.... among others. They have had Americans tied up there for over 10 years for no reason. Thousands of Americans have died there...many more injured...and hundreds of thousands will come home with psychological problems and drug dependence on opium type drugs. The American society has not seen anything yet related to the aftermath of this war. The soldiers and their families will need a lot of help to deal with post war syndrome.
While USA was busy droning and making enemies....China was busy growing 10%+ GDP and developing global relationships. Americans have a lot of catch up to do....not sure they will be able to change their ways quick enough.
This is nothing more than a fantasy. People overestimate the power of China and don't really understand it's position. There are tons, and by tons, i mean tons of problems that China has to deal with domestically and internationally before they would ever be in this type of position. Moreover, people don't understand the Chinese economy, as a WHOLE. They fail to account for how dissimilar the entire country really is and so much more. Most people who make these types of predictions have never even been to China and their opinions are based on what they read of CNN or hear from others- not real research. I live in Beijing and see the real China everyday, not this perception of China that is built on paranoia.
kwok head, you forgot one of the main problems is that the Chinese cannot find enough of those typical America kwok heads such as you to zuck their kwok. Would you like to provide such service so that the Chinese can live a more satisfactory lives?
"Hide your brightness, bide your time." If that philosophy still holds true, we are probably underestimating
It is true that world lives in shadow of Chinese economy. China is the second largest economy in the world and the world's second largest consumer of oil. It is one of the most powerful players in the world and America can not avoid contact with Chinese economy. http://www.judytapapp.com/pr-controlled-Of-Bears-Tigers-and-lots-of-money.php
The problem of America is clearly shown when nut-n-yahoo came to DC. The politicians greet him like the 2nd coming of Christ himself. The nutens happened to be in war with 1/3 of the world, and we pledge our unwavering support. We got our mind and nerve system taken over by some nut-n-yahoo.
So true
I would say "heck with the IMF and the chinese and default in the Greek manner". Then nobody gets anything and we get to start over. Hey, we are not in the Euro zone and the sword goes both ways..... dont ever miss the hint of when the Chinese begin to sell our T-bills. That is the time to default and mess 'em over !!!
Of course, if it is Arvind Subramanian then he can not wrong. Now can he? When it was said that the sun never set upon the British Empire, it spoke of a certain thing. Former criminals from Great Britain and its numerous colonies found a country called Australia gifted to them by Great Britain. What else do you do with your backyard that has overflown and you own many such regions. Yet the British built their colonies and even Australia as its penal colony began seeing development and modernity, till the British shrugged off the filth and now that filth is a country – hopefully not of filth of equal statures that led to the necessity of the penal colony to be set so far away! It spoke of a grandeur and greatness that was correctly understood as it was during the colonial period. One uses terms like shining or eclipse to denote greatness and a stature. In contemporary times (even though Indians do live in the centuries before the British rule in India with some barely managing to stumble in to the period of Tagore – and the 21st century being centuries away for most Indians (they have their own sewage made up of their political class of the Yadavas and peasants and have begun to only recently show some signs of change for the better – neanderthals in pristine condition and do make very interesting zoological studies along with the French with whom they share a lot with the difference being that the French, one has to admit, also make for good sociological curiosities along with the Vatican. Now how does the USA figure in any manner that asks for such term,s as eclipsing? Greatness? Let us not maul the English language further just because the USA is not called Australia, please or because Britain has a Prime Minister. The English language is as much a global thing as is modernity and democracy. Eclipse? Very interesting usage or abuse of words and one supposes makes for a great marketing gimmick. Hope it works for Arvind and helps in the sale of his books!
"Let us not maul the English language further...". Good idea. You can start by "stopping" the "mauling" that you do.
Until China cleans up its own act, economically and socially and environmentally, it won't "eclipse" anyone.
Arvind's scenario is just a reflection of his own dim view of the U.S.A. (And that of Zakaria, as well).
CNN just can't hire enough foreigners, they need even more to insult Americans.Congrats, Communist News Network for more scare mongering. Why bother with News anymore?
It is so bizarre that people that live in the united states cheer for its demise. Do any of you cheerleaders know how bad your life would be if any of this pans out? Or are you under the impression that you will be the exception and your life will be better than everyone else around you?
There is never a short supply of "Chicken Little"s in free societies. What I don't understand is why those geniuses of
economic prognostication (Arvind and Fareed) aren't in their own country working to make India the world's "sole superpower" instead of bemoaning the fact that the "West" is screwing up and falling behind that epitome of smart "planning", China. China and India are two catastrophes just waiting to happen.
I don't think that will happen. Now, I just don't know why the Potus bow too much.
China is a dictatorship, the chinese communist government must transfer power peacefully to the chinese people, and must pay for crimes against humanity they committed and allow China and the world to be free. May God bless China and its people, but may the chinese communist goverment come to perdition.
Arvind Subramanian and Fareed Zakaria. Just a pair of Indians who are afraid of the Chinese and what the rise of
China is going to mean for India. Why are the two of them not back in India trying to make their country a liveable place (which it isn't right now)? And China, for the most part, isn't either. China has only been able to accomplish what it has
thus far because it is a dictatorship led by very pragmatic opportunists. And India is hamstrung by a bunch of corrupt
bureaucrats and profiteers. Arvind's scenario is not going to happen, and the renminbi is not going to become the "global currency": China is going to find itself in very dire straits (economically, politically and environmentally) when the
Himalayan glaciers finally melt away (because of global warming). That fact alone is going to wreak havoc with all the
watersheds of both India and China. And neither of those two overpopulated places are going to be in any position to
dictate to the "West" anything about who will be "subservient" to whom.
why this black president bow to this chink!!!
October 27, 2011 at 2:26 pm | Reply
DR ABO WAQASS- CALGARY -ALBERTA
HOW CAN WE ATTACK IRAN- part 1 of 10 parts.
I USE USA FORCES IN AFGHANISTAN INCREASE THE JETS FIGHTERS IN THAT SIDE.
2- KEEP SOME GOOD FORCE IN IRAQ AND KUWAIT TO DEAL WITH THE SHIIA THUGS WHO WILL SUPPORT IRAN FORM the Iraqi evil government side.
3- keep tanks and jets in Kuwait
4- improve the bases in Saudi Arabia, Qatar and uae
5- ask Qatar to not help or involve with Iran
6- increase USA sea base and naval strength in Bahrain
7-prepare the submarines in the red sea, Mideastern sea, and the Arabian sea
8- close down the straight of hermoze and increase inspections on Iranians boat and ships
9- keep forces in Turkmenistan north of Iran ,and the turkey borders.
10-keep economic bloc-aid
11- attack with multi nations France, Germany, Italy, holand, and UK ,use every thing you got to finish the mission
12-help with money and arms the resistant ( KURDS, ARABESTAN, LOURS, TURKS, BAHA'I, PERSIANS, BELOOSH, SUNNIS , CHRISTENS , ASSYRIANS GROUP AND MUJAHEDIN KHLAQ FIGHTERS ) use every means of propaganda TV, radios, news and secret short wave radios to teach the masses what to do and where to get weapon and money and how to attack the enemy and destroy the enemy war machine and infrastructures,
13- use virus to attack Iran computers and army computers, destroy their satellites, command and controls, nooks sites,
and attack QUM as the mullahs will hide at their shrines and use it to make fatwas .
14- freeze all Iran assets, stop them from immigrations or coming here as most are using USA and Canada to send money to Hezbollah and Iraqi thugs, stop Ahmad AL jalabi and arrest him as he is one of Iran spies
15-help Dr ayad alawi to take over Iraq as he won the election but Iran put AL maleki instead, Al maleki pretend he is with USA but he is a lire,
16 control the Iran Iraqi boarder and Syria Iraq border by using drones so no shiia can cross to Iran from Iraq and Syria
17- Iraqi kurds can help from north Iraq, the Sunni can help from west Iraq and the resistant can attack from inside Iran
18-Israel can take care of Hezbollah and leash hell if those terrorists Hezbollah attack Israel , that's why we must get red of Syrian regimes now to cut Iran arms before attacking Iran
I will write part 2 in detail on how we can do it .
رسائل البريد الإلكتروني كشفت عن شغف أسماء الأسد بالتسوق(الفرنسية)
قالت صحيفة ذي غارديان البريطانية إن أسماء الأسد كانت تنفق عشرات آلاف الدولارات على التسوق عبر الإنترنت بينما كان الرئيس السوري بشار الأسد منهمكا بتنزيل الأغاني على آي باد وتبادلها معها ومع الأصدقاء.
وكشفت الصحيفة عن تفاصيل دقيقة تتعلق بالأسد وزوجته أسماء، وذلك بعد التمكن من اختراق بريدهما الإلكتروني الشخصي، على أيدي ناشطين معارضين، وفي حين كانت جل اهتمامات الأسد بتحميل المواد الترفيهية وإهدائها لزوجته وأصدقائه، كانت زوجته أسماء مشغولة بالتسوق عبر الإنترنت.
وأوضحت الصحيفة أنه بينما كان الصراع يحتدم على الأراضي السورية، كانت زوجة الرئيس الأسد تنفق مئات آلاف الدولارات عبر شبكة الإنترنت لشراء البضائع، وكان الأسد يتبادل روابط لمواد ترفيهية مع أصدقائه عبر جهاز آي باد، وأنه قام بتنزيل ملفات موسيقى عبر برنامج آي تونز.
وقالت ذي غارديان إنه بينما كانت المدن والبلدات السورية تتعرض للقصف بالمدفعية الثقيلة وراجمات الصواريخ كان الأسد يرسل لزوجته أسماء أغاني لمطربين غربيين.
مطرب أميركي
وأوضحت أن المدن والبلدات السورية تعرضت لقصف شديد بمدافع الهاون في الخامس من فبراير/شباط الماضي، مما أسفر عن مقتل وجرح المئات من السوريين، وأن مجلس الأمن كان يخطط لاتخاذ قرار ضد من وصفته بالدكتاتور.
وأضافت أن بريد الأسد الإلكتروني يكشف عن أنه في اليوم التالي قام بإهداء زوجته أسماء أغاني للمطرب الأميركي بليك شيلتون، وأنه قام بإنزالها من "آي تونز"، وأن بريد الأسد لم يعكس الحالة الدموية والاضطرابات التي تشهدها البلاد.
وقالت إنه لا يبدو أن حياة الأسد وعائلته والدائرة الضيقة المحيطة به كانت تبدو وكأنها تقود البلاد الثائرة من حولهم، موضحة أن مطلع إحدى الأغاني كان يقول "لقد كنت أمشي مكسور القلب، لقد زججت بنفسي في الفوضى، فالشخص الذي كنت أمثله في الفترة الأخيرة، ليس هو الشخص الذي أردت أن أكون".
وأضافت الصحيفة أن الناشطين اطلعوا على عشرات الرسائل الإلكترونية الخاصة بالبريد الشخصي للأسد وزوجته أسماء، والتي تظهر كيف أن زوجة الرئيس كانت تنفق عشرات آلاف الدولارات في التسوق عبر الإنترنت.
وقالت إن أسماء الأسد كانت توقع على مشتريات ثمينة من الأثاث المصنوع يدويا والمجوهرات والأحذية الغربية بالرمز "AAA" وأنها كانت تشتري لها ولبعض صديقاتها، وأنها كانت تعيش حياة بذخ وترف.
وأضافت أن بعض التجار الأوروبيين لا يعرفون أن المرأة التي تتسوق من محالهم عبر الإنترت هي السيدة الأولى لسوريا، ولكن بعضهم قال إنه يعرفها أو أنه قابلها مرة أو أكثر، وأنها كانت لطيفة جدا في التعامل مع التجار.
وأشارت الصحيفة إلى تفاصيل العديد من الرسائل الإلكترونية التي أرسلها الأسد لزوجته ولآخرين، وإلى أن الرئيس السوري بدا متأثرا بالأحداث في ظل تفاقم الأزمة في البلاد.
فقد كشفت عن أن بعض الرسائل الإلكترونية التي أرسلها الأسد لزوجته كانت تقول "إذا كنا أقوياء معا، فنحن سنتغلب على هذا معا. أحبك".
كما أرسل الأسد رسالة أخرى في 23 يوليو/تموز 2011 يصف فيها روبرت موردوخ بكونه يهودي وإسرائيلي وأنه شيطان.
IRAQI SHIIA ARE STEALING IRAQ READ THE PROVE, I AM IN BAGHDAD NOW
IRAQI SHIIA THUGS ARE SENDING MILLIONS TO SYRIA GOVERNMENT TO KILL THE KURDS AND THE SUNNI, ALSO TAKEN IRAN OIL AND SALE IT FOR THEM
في عراقنا المزيَّنِ بالفقر والعوز والثكالى وفقراء الطرق الذين يمسحون زجاج السيارات في برد بغداد القارس والدولة عنهم في غيبوبة، أقول في هذا المشهد المظلم يخرج الينا مجلس النواب ببدعة جديدة في الإسراف والبذخ، وهذه المرة من خلال شراء عشرين قطعة سلاح لكل نائب. أود تذكيركم سريعاً وقبل الدخول في الموضوع ان كل نائب يستلم ما يقارب 12.000.000 دينار مقطوعة عن 12 يوم عمل في كل شهر اي مليون دينار عن كل جلسة سواء عقدت ام لم تعقد كما يستلم 22.500.000 دينار لثلاثين شخصاً يحمونه علماً ان الغالب الاعم من النواب يقطنون المنطقة الدولية والتي لا يكادون يحتاجون فيها لحماية من أحد، ويعلم الجميع ان عضو المجلس يستلم كامل المبالغ المخصصة للحماية نيابة عن الحماية على اساس ان يوزعها لاحقاً.
وفوق هذا البذخ الصلِف للمال العام الذي يجب ان يكون محلُّهُ فقيرات العراق وعجزته ومعوقوه ومعدموه قرر مجلس النواب ان يشتري لكل نائب عشرة مسدسات (من نوع CZ99 سعر القطعة في بلد المنشأ 500$ كما يظهر فيهذا الرابط وعشرة بندقيات نوع M16 سعر القطعة في بلد المنشأ 586$ كما يظهر في هذا الرابط وبعملية رياضية بسيطة سيتضح ان كل نائب سيكلف الدولة 21.720$ دولار امريكي علماً اننا احتسبنا الكلفة حسب قيمة الاسلحة في بلد المنشأ وتغاضينا عن عمليات الفساد الحتمية التي ستضاعف المبلغ وتضخمه، ومعنى هذا ان مجلس النواب سيقتني اسلحة بقيمة 7.059.000$ دولار امريكي اي ما يعادل 8.611.980.000 مليار دينار عراقي اذا اخذنا بالاعتبار ان عدد اعضاء المجلس 325 نائباً حفظهم الله ورعاهم ذخراً لنا وللفقراء والمعدمين.
ولإنعاش الذاكرة وحسب اود التذكير ان المجلس موشِكٌ على الموافقة على شراء سيارة مصفحة لكل نائب فضلاً عما ذكرنا من قبل من اسلحة، وتود رئيسة لجنة شؤون الاعضاء والتطوير البرلماني الدكتورة حنان الفتلاوي زعيمة مقارعة الفساد ان تجري مناقشة الموضوع بكل شفافية ولكن خلف ابواب موصدة في جلسة سرية خشية الفضيحة طبعاً وليس لسرية الامر، ولو افترضنا جدلاً ان كلفة السيارة المصفحة الواحدة 50.000$ دولار امريكي فان المجلس سيقتني مجمل السيارات بمبلغ 16.250.000$ مليون دولار وهو ما يعادل 18.281.250.000مليار دينار عراقي.
أقول لمن اراسلهم من عيون السلطة الرابعة حان دوركم الان، واقول للبرلمانيين: اذا لم تستحوا فاصنعوا ما شئتم
الراصد البرلماني
March 24, 2012 at 11:10 am | Reply
BASHAR AL KALB
BASHAR AL ASAD AND HIS WIFE, SENDING MILLIONS OD USA DOLLARS TO LEBANON IN A STASH IN A DIFFRENT ANAME ACCOUNT, ALSO SENDING WEAPONS FROM SYRIA TO HIZBOALLAH 10 FULL TRUCKS EVERY DAY CROSSING TO HIZBOALLAH TO PREPARE FOR A RUN AND TO BE USED FOR EMERGENCY , those love birds killers and thug are preparing to empty syria from cash and weapons and move them to lebanon in the hands of the terrorists hizboallah i saw that my self, we have people on the ground at the syria / lebanon boarder sending these informations , some of the trucks also contain chemical weapoins to hizboallah...please inform the media now before it is too late
March 24, 2012 at 11:54 am | Reply
....BASHAR AL KALB
.....BASHAR AL ASAD AND HIS WIFE, SENDING MILLIONS OD USA DOLLARS TO LEBANON IN A STASH IN A DIFFRENT ANAME ACCOUNT, ALSO SENDING WEAPONS FROM SYRIA TO HIZBOALLAH 10 FULL TRUCKS EVERY DAY CROSSING TO HIZBOALLAH TO PREPARE FOR A RUN AND TO BE USED FOR EMERGENCY , those love birds killers and thug are preparing to empty syria from cash and weapons and move them to lebanon in the hands of the terrorists hizboallah i saw that my self, we have people on the ground at the syria / lebanon boarder sending these informations , some of the trucks also contain chemical weapoins to hizboallah...please inform the media now before it is too late
March 24, 2012 at 11:55 am | Reply
Huh?
Wrong story, pal...your rant does not relate to Mali in any way, shape, or form...
March 25, 2012 at 2:55 am | Reply
GET RED OF THEM NOW, SHIIAZIM IS EVIL MUST END
GET RED OF THEM NOW, SHIIAZIM IS EVIL MUST END
1. al-Assad IS in serious trouble. Obama was one of the first world leaders to call explicitly for al-Assad's ouster. ALL THE WORLD CONDEMN AND SANCTION HIM and we must keep doing it until he fall and then bring him as a war criminal along with russian leaders we must attack russian interest every where, they have blood in there hands.
2. Force is only answer aganist syria now.along with Hizboallah, terrorists must be hunted down, Yes, the Pentagon is reportedly preparing "detailed" contingency options for U.S. military action in Syria. That's what militaries do, and it's only prudent for the United States to monitor chemical weapons sites and eavesdrop on the regime's communications. It's also a good idea for the president to have a full understanding of what his options are and the risks and costs involved.
3. The U.S. intelligence community is concerned about hizboalla ,iran and iraqi shiia terrorists presence in Syria of fighters from Iraq's shiia branch, who are thought to be behind a spate of bombing attacks in Damascus and Aleppo.
4. . If al-Assad is to fall, the pillars that prop up his regime must first be removed. Iran and Russia, both of which continue to send weapons and advice, if not more, must be convinced that a post-al-Assad Syria is something they can at least live with. Both countries have met with members of the Syrian opposition, indicating they want to explore their options. Perhaps
5. Ignoring China. and use the human right tickets aganist them, make it tough for china to buy and sale to any memebers , china love money and will leave asad if there are economic snaction aganist this evil communist regime.
6. Focusing exclusively on the Syrian National Council he;p them, arm them , finance them, get no fly zones in multiple areas so they can get weapons and supplies, they are already in civil war , so no worries we can safe civilians , al asad already kilkled 14,000 civilians, and more than 132 000 in prison, killing daily.
.7- attack syria now alonmg with hizboallah as they are hiding chimechal weapons and stash and make the region un stable, attack them now and save millions of civilians later, attack them now and that will make it easy to get red of iran later. we all must be united to get red of those evil fregiemes, dont be silent SILENCE IS A CRIME, HITLER MUST NOT COME BACK AGAIN and he is a life and well as long as IRAN AND SYRIA THUGS ARE COMMITTING CIVILIAN KILLING.
March 24, 2012 at 3:05 pm | Reply
THE E MAILS OF BASHAR AL ASAD THE KILLER OF SYRIA
الناشطون وصفوا الأسد بأنه حريص ويلغي ما يكتبه من صندوق الإرسال بشكل مستمر (وكالة الأنباء الأوروبية )
نشرت صحيفة ذي غارديان لائحة بأهم الشخصيات التي ورد ذكرها في ثلاثة آلاف رسالة إلكترونية حصلت عليها، والتي تقول الصحيفة إن جزءا كبيرا منها نسخ من البريد الإلكتروني للرئيس السوري بشار الأسد sam@alshahba.com. وتصف الصحيفة الشخصيات التي تبادلت الرسائل أو لها علاقة بهذا العنوان البريدي بأنها مجموعة صغيرة ولكنها متنفذة وهم كالتالي:
بشار الأسد: يقول الناشطون إن الرئيس السوري بشار الأسد يستخدم اسم "سام" (Sam) كاسم حركي في مراسلاته عبر الإنترنت. وقد لاحظ الناشطون -الذين راقبوا هذا العنوان لشهور عديدة- أن صاحبه شديد الحذر ويتمتع بحس أمني عال، ويقوم بمسح الرسائل الصادرة سريعا.
أسماء الأسد: زوجة الرئيس السوري، وتستخدم بريدا إلكترونيا تحت عنوان ak@alshahba.com للمراسلة مع العنوان المذكور والحرفان الأولان يرمزان إلى عالية كيالي معلوف. وغالبا ما خاطب sam@alshahba.comصاحبة الحرفين AوK بعبارة "عزيزتي أسماء".
ويعتقد الناشطون أن عالية كيالي الحقيقية ليس لديها حق الدخول إلى العنوان، ولكنهم لاحظوا أيضا أن صاحب هذا الحساب لا يتخذ إجراءات أمنية عالية مثل صاحب الحساب "سام". وتصف الصحيفة المراسلات بين العنوانين البريديين أعلاه، بأنها تنم عن شخصين يرتبطان بعلاقة زواج، ولكن علاقتهما ترزح تحت وطأة ضغط العمل الشديد، ولكن على أي حال فإن المراسلات بين الطرفين لا تنم عن اكتراث بالعنف الدموي الذي يجتاح سوريا.
شهرزاد الجعفري: ابنة السفير السوري لدى الأمم المتحدة، وهي في بداية العشرينيات من عمرها. ويعتقد أن الجعفري وبعد تخرجها من الجامعة في الولايات المتحدة، عملت متدربة في مؤسسة براون لويد للعلاقات العامة في نيويورك بالولايات المتحدة. وبعد عودة الجعفري إلى دمشق، سرعان ما أصبحت من المقربين من الأسد وأعلى مستشاريه الإعلاميين.
ويقول زملاؤها في مؤسسة براون إنها استمرت في التواصل معهم، واستخدمت علاقاتها مع المؤسسة لتحصل على ثقة الأسد كشخصية لها خبرة في مجال العلاقات العامة. إلا أن إحدى الرسائل التي تبادلتها الجعفري مع مسؤول رفيع المستوى في المؤسسة أظهرت دعمه للجعفري والأسد، ولكن المؤسسة بررت ذلك بأن كلمات المسؤول لم تكن سوى كلمات تشجيع لمتدربة سابقة في المؤسسة، وهي لا تعني دعما للأسد.
هديل العلي: مستشارة صحفية إلى جانب الجعفري، وتتمتع بحظوة لدى الأسد وتأخذ على عاتقها كتابة تقارير عن الصحف اليومية وطريقة تعاملها مع الشأن السوري، ووقع خطابات الأسد على المناصرين، بالإضافة الى تأمين إيصال طلبات مقابلة الأسد من صحفيين يعتبرون مقبولين لدى النظام.
لونة الشبل: مذيعة سابقة في قناة الجزيرة. تقدم دعما قويا للأسد وقد تكون من أشد المطالبين بانتهاج أسلوب متشدد إلى أكثر حد مع المعارضين السوريين. كما تقدم المشورة بشأن كيفية إبقاء الانتفاضة تحت السيطرة.
خالد أحمد: أحد اللاعبين الأساسيين في المراسلات، ويقوم بتقديم تقييمات منتظمة عن الوضع المتردي في حمص. وهو مكلف بمهام إشرافية بوصفه مسؤولا سابقا في المنطقة التي تضم حمص. ويعتقد أن لأحمد صلات بالحزب القومي الاشتراكي السوري الذي ظل ومليشياته لمدة أربعين عاما من أشد المناصرين للنظام السوري. ويردد خالد رواية النظام أن هناك إرهابيين إسلاميين مدعومين من الخارج يحركون الانتفاضة السورية.
حسين مرتضى: رئيس قناة العالم التلفزيونية الإيرانية، ويتمتع مرتضى بصلات قوية بإيران وحزب الله ويقدم النصائح والمشورة للأسد بشكل مستمر، ويدعي في مراسلاته مع "سام" بأن ما يقوله يمثل وجهة نظر إيران وحزب الله. ويعتبر مرتضى عنصرا رئيسيا في تسويق رواية النظام عن ما يجري في سوريا.
March 25, 2012 at 12:33 am | Reply
Benedict
And here i was thinking that Africans are getting things right after so long?! How does sacking the government help their quest to defeat the Tuareg militia attacks? Restore the elected government so that all hands will on deck to tackle this threat to Mali‘s sovereignty!
March 25, 2012 at 6:14 am | Reply
SHARMOOTA KOS omahatkum muslims shiia
Evil Iran are responsible of killing diplomats in many countries.......Why usa silent, attack Iran now they are a terrorists state helping terrorists hizboallah.
يشار أن لأذربيجان -الجمهورية السوفيتية السابقة الواقعة على الحدود مع إيران- علاقات ودية مع الولايات المتحدة وإسرائيل وقد تزايد التوتر بينها وبين إيران في الأشهر الأخيرة.
وفي الشهر الماضي اتهمت طهران باكو بمساعدة المخابرات الإسرائيلية في عملية اغتيال العالم النووي الإيراني مصطفى أحمدي روشان الذي قتل في انفجار قنبلة ثبتت في سيارته.
كما تدهورت العلاقات بين البلدين في يناير/كانون الثاني بعد أن اعتقلت أذربيجان رجلين للاشتباه في قيامهما بالتخطيط لمهاجمة أجانب، بمن في ذلك السفير الإسرائيلي في باكو وأحد الحاخامات، وقالت السلطات الأذرية إن المشتبه بهما كانا يتلقيان المساعدة من رجل إيراني على صلة بأجهزة المخابرات الإيرانية.
وتقول السلطات الأذرية أيضا إنها أحبطت خطة لعملاء إيرانيين وحزب الله اللبناني لتفجير سيارة ملغومة قرب السفارة الإسرائيلية بأذربيجان قبل أربع سنوات، ومؤامرة كانت تستهدف السفارتين الأميركية والبريطانية في العام 2007.
كما تنظر طهران حسب مراقبين بارتياب متزايد لجارتها بسبب علاقاتها التجارية المتنامية مع إسرائيل، التي كان آخرها توقيعهما اتفاقا بمليارات الدولارات الشهر الماضي لتزويد باكو بمعدات دفاع صاروخي، في حين تستورد منها تل أبيب أكثر من ربع احتياجاتها النفطية.
This article on globalpublicsquare.blogs.cnn.com gives the light in which we can observe the reality. Best regards!
Good points, until the "italian sofa" part. TMI-too many informations
Nuclear missile with the longest range makes no sense^^
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