April 25th, 2012
10:25 AM ET

Roundup: Greek central banker warns on euro exit

Editor's Note: The following is reprinted with the permission of the Council on Foreign Relations.

Bank of Greece Governor George Provopoulos warned Greek political leaders that if the country were to abandon its strict austerity path following general elections on May 6, it could potentially force Greece to leave the eurozone (WSJ). His call comes amid mounting social unrest in Greece over government cutbacks and fierce opposition to the second EU bailout program agreed to by technocratic Prime Minister Lucas Papademos last month. The unrest is indicative of a larger EU debate over the balance of austerity and growth measures needed to combat the ongoing eurozone sovereign debt crisis. Meanwhile, the Greek central bank predicted the economy would contract by around 5 percent for 2012.

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Analysis

"But Europe's policy of austerity for all is dragging one economy after another back into recession–and the effect is not limited to the periphery. The bankruptcy of universal austerity is political as well as economic. The more clearly the eurozone's favored policy is failing, the less credible mainstream politicians–still too loyal to Germany's demand for deficit cuts–will seem to voters," notes argues this Financial Times editorial.

"So if there's no one-size-fits-all political force at work, what's common to calls across Europe for change? A desire for better balance and viability in responding to the situation, for starters. There's also a demand for more common sense in finding cures that aren't more debilitating than the illness treated. European publics are ready to make sacrifices to save the euro, but they aren't convinced current leaders are making all the moves necessary to do that either," writes TIME's Bruce Crumley.

"If the Dutch with their robust economy aren't willing to observe the 15-year-old rule limiting the budget deficit to 3 percent of GDP, many are asking, why should other nations such as Greece, Spain, Portugal and Italy, which have far bigger economic problems?" notes Der Spiegel.

PACIFIC RIM

U.S., Philippines Conduct War Games

Filipino and U.S. troops staged a beachfront assault on the Philippine island of Palawan in the South China Sea, near the Scarborough Shoal, which has been the focal point of an ongoing maritime dispute between the Philippines and China (Telegraph). China claims all of the South China Sea as its territory.

CHINA: Bo Guagua, the youngest son of ousted Communist party official Bo Xilai, issued a statement on the website of the Harvard Crimson expressing concern about the investigations surrounding both of his parents, while defending his lifestyle (WSJ) as a student studying overseas.

Politician Bo Xilai's sudden fall from grace unmasks long-discussed corruption within the political ranks and undermines a smooth leadership transition for the Communist Party, says CFR's Elizabeth Economy in this CFR Interview.

SOUTH AND CENTRAL ASIA

Pakistan Conducts Missile Test

Pakistan successfully test-fired a nuclear-capable intermediate-range ballistic missile (al-Jazeera), the military confirmed. The test comes nearly a week after neighboring India launched its first intercontinental ballistic missile.

PAKISTAN: Senior Pakistani, Afghan, and U.S. diplomats are set to meet in Islamabad this Friday to discuss the Afghan peace and reconciliation process (ExpressTribune).

This CFR Timeline examines the events that precipitated the U.S. war in Afghanistan as well as the history of the war.

MIDDLE EAST

Annan Calls for Full Deployment of Syria Monitoring Mission

The UN-Arab League envoy to Syria, Kofi Annan, urged the full deployment of the 300-person UN observer mission (AFP) to monitor an unraveling cease-fire between the Syrian government and opposition forces, while calling continued violence "unacceptable."

ISRAEL: The chief of the Israeli Defense Forces, Lt. Gen. Benny Gantz, told Israeli newspaper Haaretz that he believes Iran will not develop nuclear weapons as a result of increased international pressure.

AFRICA

China to Send Envoy to Sudans

China will send its special envoy for Africa to Sudan and South Sudan (Reuters) in an effort–in conjunction with the United States–to bring both countries back to the negotiating table, amid escalating military tensions along their shared oil-rich border, Chinese government officials said today.

China has increased its economic ties with Africa as it seeks to fulfill its growing energy demands. But China's way of doing business has prompted international criticism, even as its policy of noninterference faces new challenges, explains this CFR Backgrounder.

ZIMBABWE: Since the country switched its currency to the U.S. dollar in 2009 in an effort to tackle unprecedented inflation levels, Zimbabwe now faces a shortage of coins (NYT). The lack of change has complicated daily transactions in a country where many people subsist on a dollar or two per day.

EUROPE

UK in Double-Dip Recession

The UK's GDP contracted 0.2 percent in the first three months of 2012 (Guardian), plunging the country into its first double-dip recession since the 1970s, while potentially undermining the coalition government's strict austerity policies.

AMERICAS

Brazil, U.S. Discuss Defense Cooperation

Brazilian Defense Minister Celso Amorim and U.S. Secretary of Defense Leon Panetta discussed increasing bilateral cooperation in cybersecurity, science and military technology, and humanitarian aid during a joint meeting in Brasilia yesterday (MercoPress).

ARGENTINA: EU Trade Commissioner Karel De Gucht warned Argentina over its nationalization last week of oil firm YPF (BBC)–which had been majority-owned by Spanish energy firm Repsol–saying it could have long-term economic consequences for the country.

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CAMPAIGN 2012

After Primary Wins, Romney Takes On the Economy

In a primary-night victory speech highly critical of President Obama's policies, GOP front-runner Mitt Romney pledged to rebuild a U.S. economy that is "the most innovative, most productive, and the most powerful economy in the world." Romney won all five Republican contests Tuesday.

A number of polls show Obama holding a narrow lead over Romney, but with the president vulnerable because of dissatisfaction with his handling of the economy, the Washington Post said.

President Obama continued his call to maintain low college loan rates, hoping to energize young people, who helped get him elected in 2008 but are now less enthusiastic and facing a difficult job market and heavy student loan debt (News&Observer).

Editor's Note: For more information on the presidential election and foreign policy check out CFR's campaign blog, The Candidates and the World.

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Topics: Economy • Europe • Greece

soundoff (17 Responses)
  1. 100% ETHIO

    Greek must vote to work, but not to talk. To get out from being poor. Protesting, looting and killing will make the financial crisis that has been caused by overslept will make it worst.

    Get your butt out, and work hard. What can your leader do, if you didn't produced anything?

    April 25, 2012 at 11:15 am | Reply
    • ✠ RZ ✠

      Yes Ethio I agree. Cut out government payroll entirely and force all those corrupt, greedy, lazy, unproductive, thieving, wasteful, sleaze bag politicians, bureaucrats and the like to find REAL jobs. And while we're at it, let's make sure they have to work their a$$es off for next to nothing ! Yes indeed, you have my vote !

      April 25, 2012 at 11:16 pm | Reply
  2. joe anon 1

    exit now. let the bankers enjoy austerity.

    April 25, 2012 at 2:30 pm | Reply
  3. j. von hettlingen

    So all eyes are on Sarkozy, whether he'll get re-elected. Angela Merkel counts on him to clean up the mess in the Eurozone. Political instability in Greece and its ditching the Euro will derail the "Merkozy" plan.

    April 25, 2012 at 3:28 pm | Reply
  4. j. von hettlingen

    Thanks God that Benny Gantz, the chief of the Israeli Defense Forces told Israeli newspaper Haaretz that he does believe Iran would develop nuclear weapons as a result of international pressure. No Wonder it's so much quieter now without Netanyahu and Ehud Barak beating the war drums.

    April 25, 2012 at 3:41 pm | Reply
    • j. von hettlingen

      Sorry: please read he DOESN'T believe Iran

      April 25, 2012 at 3:41 pm | Reply
  5. George Patton

    Like I said before, the one thing the Greeks need to do is to get out of the Eurozone and go back to using the Drachma. Unfortunately, their worthless politicians seemingly don't have the sense to see this or are they following orders from Washington D.C.? Either way, the Greeks are doomed to suffer more as a result of this idiocy!!!

    April 25, 2012 at 11:08 pm | Reply
    • Travis

      Why is it George, that you seem to be the only one here who has enough sense to see that? Of course Greece needs to leave the Eurozone along with every other country in Europe!

      April 26, 2012 at 11:29 am | Reply
  6. krm1007

    It appears that the message Pakistan is sending to India and the whole world via missile mail is that they have arrived. The leadership that India couild not provide to the region since 1947....Pakistan will now fill the void. This affront to India clearly means that Pakistan considers the balkanization of India imminent and thus the need to develop shorter range missiles to deal with the fractured independent states that will emerge from its breakup. Certainly the Maoists are giving the Indians a run for their money.

    April 27, 2012 at 1:30 pm | Reply
    • Joseph McCarthy

      Hopefully krm1007, the Maoists in India may one day triumph there and set up a Communist Republic and the Indian people may for one time enjoy an equal distribution of the national wealth.

      April 27, 2012 at 2:19 pm | Reply

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