Editor's note: Andrew Selee is director of the Woodrow Wilson Center’s Mexico Institute, which promotes dialogue and understanding between the United States and Mexico. The views expressed in this article are solely those of Andrew Selee.
By Andrew Selee, Special to CNN
Mexico's elections have brought back the PRI, an authoritarian party that ruled Mexico for seven decades. This possibility had worried many observers and politicians in the United States, and yet, surprisingly, it will make little difference for the U.S.-Mexico relationship. This is largely a tribute to how deeply interdependent the two countries are today, as well as the ways in which Mexican society has evolved over the past two decades.
The PRI has been known in the past for its anti-American rhetoric and distrust of the United States. However, circumstances over the past 20 years have completely changed the relationship between the two countries. Mexico has developed a vibrant export-oriented economy that is growing at a respectable 3-4% a year. Its major destination for exports is, of course, the United States.
Related: Fareed Zakaria on why Mexico is on the rise
At the same time, Mexico's expanding economy has allowed it to become the second destination for U.S. exports. States ranging from Texas to Nebraska, Michigan, Tennessee and New Hampshire depend heavily on the trading relationship with Mexico. Indeed, the growing Mexican economy is helping to fuel the expansion of jobs in these states in the midst of an economic crisis at home. Policymakers in both countries have a vested interest in managing these economic ties responsibly, and a new administration in Mexico is sure to make this a priority.
There have also been suspicions that the PRI would renew its old ways in dealing with drug traffickers and jettison the growing security cooperation relationship with the United States. This also seems unlikely to happen, and the new government will almost certainly want to deepen cooperation against drug traffickers. In the past, PRI governments "managed" the traffickers to keep them under control, and scandals and allegations of relationships with cartels hound some former and current state PRI governors.
However, the new government in Mexico has enormous incentives to tackle the violence that has beset parts of the country, and it cannot do that without extensive intelligence sharing, equipment and training from the U.S. government. We are likely to see cooperation against trafficking organizations deepen in the coming years as the new government tries to get control of areas in the north and along the coasts where criminal groups have established themselves. The main criminal groups are now too big to be dealt with through negotiations and deals as the PRI did in the 1980s and 90s. Inevitably, the new government will have to continue outgoing President Felipe Calderon's policy of confronting these groups, although it may find ways of prioritizing the protection of civilians in the process.
Suspicions will, nonetheless, remain in the United States, as in much of Mexican society, about the PRI's honesty and transparency. A party that ruled through corrupt bargains in the past is unlikely to have been born again overnight. Indeed, the allegations of several creative means for vote buying by the PRI during this election worries many that the old ways of doing business are alive and well still in 2012. But even here there is hope.
What has changed is not the PRI but Mexican society and the challenges it faces. Mexicans today have become used to a flourishing democracy with competitive elections, freedom of the press, and greater (if still imperfect) transparency in governance. Mexicans expect politicians to be accountable, police to do their jobs well and courts to be independent. They are often disappointed, to be sure, but their expectations have changed dramatically since the late 1990s when Mexico's democratic process began. The PRI is, in the end, a party that wants legitimacy and to show that it can govern in a democratic era. The new government is almost certain to continue reforms to the courts, police and public services as a way of winning public trust.
The United States has a substantial interest in seeing Mexico's democracy flourish, its security situation improve and its economy grow. Making sure that we have a secure and prosperous neighbor next door, with solid democratic institutions, will provide a buffer in an often hostile world and produce enormous tangible benefits for U.S. workers who depend on exports to Mexico. Deepening our partnership with Mexico is key to the future of U.S. security and prosperity. There will be legitimate doubts about the new government in Mexico, but there will be even more pressing reasons to move forward in strengthening the relationship with our neighbor next door.
- The views expressed in this article are solely those of Andrew Selee.
© 2012 Cable News Network. Turner Broadcasting System, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
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Canada:Mexico::Heaven:Hell
US= Limbo?
US = Purgatory???
The president-elect does have a sense of ethics and has pledged no return to the PRI's pre-2000 policy of tolerating drug cartels in return for civil peace. He also has announced plans to establish a special paramilitary police force to fight the drug barons alongside a stronger army presence.
SDK = bimbo
Go forth and abuse, kill, maim,hurt, lie, cheat...
Moohamed, we're not going to convert to Islam. Yes, we know that lie, cheat, kill is the mantra of Islam. Sorry, but we're talking about ending the Drug War here.
Agreed big j, andthe us is purgatory sliding towards he ll.
What does "purgatory" mean again?
I am a total idiot and I am not able to understand anything.
mexico is a beatiful country...hell? no no you wrong... sorry but canada=heaven? jajajajaja ok XD you are canadian right? jajaja
How quickly can our President get him here to so he can can continue the tradiiton of insulting our nation during an assembly of Congress?
I dont think this PRI is going to cow tow to Obama. It's not Abuelito's PRI.
In my feeble mind, I hope and pray 5 times a day that he ll comes to America.
Inchallah!
We most certainly do want a prosperous and secure (and friendly towards us) neighbor next door, unfortunately, our drug policy will prevent that from happening just as it has for the last fourty years. Unless we legalize cannabis, nothing will change.
I would rather see our country go after those guys at the very top that are getting those drugs across our borders, forget the little guys, go after those that are reaping billions off our hunger for drugs. But, on the other hand, by making cannabis legal and then taxing the crap out of it could be another win on the war on drugs.
Go after the guys at the top all you want, there will be more to take their place. Supply and demand.
The "little guys" today will be the "big guys" tomorrow. It's a neverending cycle thanks to decades of prohibition.
That's what they claim to do, but there are mostly low level street dealers and private users in jail, while the king pins go free, especially since the top of that did chain are friendly with the cia
I am a small (for now) drug dealer and I need America to get the big guys out of the way so that I can better my business,:)
The larges obstacle of the war on drugs is he USA religious right. Same problem we had with alcohol prohibition.
If Allah the Magnificent and his profiteer Moorhamed was involved, they would all loose their heads.
Allahuakbhar!
Again with the 'legalize solution'?
Do you really think legalizing and taxing drugs will make these people suddenly behave and go legal? You will only widen their business options, and they'll keep traficking drugs happily all over the US.
You're not thinking, you just want cheaper pot.
You're implying taxed pot would be cheaper...how?
Debasing the discussion for regulated marijuana is just as foolish as a hippie believing that taxed weed could save all the world's problems. This is why the topic has been gridlocked for so long. Nobody is willing to acknowledge the facets, realities, and possibilities of a comprehensive way forward. You're either a 1) Totalitarian or 2) a hippie loser who wants to get school kids high and like, uh, tax it and uh...save the world.
there is surely an area between the two that we can all find common ground on.
Widen options? Gahaha. Fool.
I would love to hear your argument Acoyauh as to how legalizing pot in the states would "widen the options" of drug cartels?
Lets see, 100% of all Mexican pot is sold in the streets from drug dealers. If cannabis was legalized, government regulated and taxed, and sold from shops that go through all the same types of licensing as alcohol sellers, how would drug cartels benefit from this? They are now completely forclosed from the market. Do we see billions of US dollars going to Mexico to get vodka? Your argument is so stupid I cannot believe you actually believe the junk rationalizations you are spewing.
Acoyauh are you an idiot?
"Do you really think legalizing and taxing drugs will make these people suddenly behave and go legal?"
You really think people PREFER buying cannabis illegal? Behave and go legal? Wow you are totally ignorant on the problem. Just as people had to buy alcohol from speakeasys during prohibition...people without the option of buying it legal have to resort to sketchy drug dealers. Lets see, given the choice, would someone want to go to a licensed, government regulated cannabis dispensary with all the types of strains clearly listed, explained and zero chance of lace...or go find a guy they dont know on the street who could a) kill them b) rob them c) sell them junk d) sell them laced junk e)sell them cannabis that the buyer has no way of verifying is what they say it is.
Btw, i dont smoke pot. But even just looking at history one can see that prohibitions CREATE black markets. Buyers do not prefer them. I'll say it again, Acoyauh you are an idiot.
Really? I'm sorry, but there is very good historical precedent (the prohibition of alcohol and it's subsequent legalization) which shows this will not be the case. As long as the taxes on it are not set too high, the black market cannot compete with a legal one.
So then, would you like to explain to us all what happened to the alcohol cartels after alcohol was re-legalized? And here I thought they all went out of business because they just couldn't compete with a legal regulated market. I guess I was wrong and they're still alive and well selling hooch on the streets.
As far as mj goes, if it were legal, it would be grown in bulk here, no more imports. The whole plant is a phenomenal cash crop. Thomas Jefferson, ben Franklin, George Washington al grew and used cannabis.
Lets see:
1. I go down to my local 7-11 and buy a pack of joints at a high price legally, thereby generating tax revenue, preventing children from getting it and supporting legal US businesses which grow, transport and sell.
2. I wander questionable locations in search of an unscrupulous pusher who offers no consistent quality, pushes other hard drugs, sells to children and just might rob/shoot me, all to save a few dollars. Oh, and the profits will go to murder people in Mexico and I'm also gonna have to dodge the police (or pay them off.) If the police do happen to catch me, it will cost you $60,000/yr to keep me in jail and ruin my employment prospects for life. Plan on another 45+ years of supporting me on welfare/prison/ss/robbery because I won't be able to have a job.
Yeah. I know what my choice will be. Now can you get off of your High Horse and realize that those are the only two options that are on the table. People will always do drugs. You cannot stop them any more than you can get religious people to become athiests. Stalin couldn't even do that and he killed millions.
I lie good, yes!
Why you just stop smoking the stuiff, not only would make you rpoductive, less promt to lung cancer and would stop the cartels, hard to belive how infantile you are..
Why don't you stop trying to force other people to comply with your way of life?
Thank you Dr. Dr. for leading the completely pious life free from sin, for that surely is what gives you the moral fiber to judge all others. Glad to see that you have devoted your life to the study of medicine which you freely give to all who need, that you've overcome challenges in your personal life by allways making the correct decision, and that you've stopped all forms of indulgence such as booze, caffine, nicotine, sugar and of course the Evil Weed.
What's that? You're actually a sleaseball Dr to the stars who owns 5 yachts bought with profits from plastic surgey for CEO's wives? And you supplement your income with pain-killer prescription drug scripts written by the ream for Rush and Beck?
Well then... I don't accept your moral authority on this issue. Come back to me when you've rid yourself of worldly excesses and then we'll talk about how my morals have to be altered.
I am a communist and, consequently, I do not want anyone to practice any materialistic excesses.
Stop with the logic. I need see Americans really stoned so that muslims take over.
ahahahahaha...
Take a look at the radicals in office now. France, Iran, North Korea, Cuba, Venezuela, Mexico and Egypt, just to name a few. The pres will welcome him, as he will with the others. These are his kind of people, all left leaning liberals that will re-shape our world in the worst possible way. For me, I see dangerous times ahead of us. Beware of these guys, including ours.
The PRI is considered the conservative party in Mexico.
Actually, the PRI is center-left. PAN is the conservative party.
MEXICAN elctions!! FRAUDE!!
The PRI, a left-leaning party? Radical? Apparently the sun rises from the west and rain falls up in your world.
PRI is the conquistadors, and PAN is the mezticos sent north to mail back their money.
PRI and PAN is the SAME.. Ultra RIght on these days!! MEXICAN elections FRAUD!!!!! Mexican living in Mexico talking!!!
Mexicans outside of Mexico no talking.
Great all the Drug heads should be cheering they can continue to destroy their lives and the lives of all those around them and put us all at risk for their lack of self control.
Alcohol is a drug that destroys more lives than any illegal drug does.
Yeah, tell that to the 47,500 killed in Mexico alone – The big difference is Drus are illegal, just like to 30 Million people living here...Illegal...Solution – Fence with a marine sniper every mile away...will stop both. (The big difference between us and the old Soviet union and N Korea – They try to keep people in....
Re: John. Drugs kill more people in the US than they do in Mexico, while drug-related violence kills more people in Mexico than it does in the US. It's not a problem that one country can solve by itself. Mexico needs help from the US to curb demand and gun trafficking, the US needs Mexico to stop drug production and distribution. Placing blame at any one country's feet for the deaths and corruption is counterproductive.
Yeah,.. i can stand all the alcohol cartels..
Dr. Dr. you can stand the alcohol cartels because they've been neutered by the end of Prohibition. Neuter the drug cartels the same way.
Why should we cheer? This guy is just going to continue the failed policies of the past 100 years. There's not going to be any significant change. You prohibitionists should be cheering, it's business as usual.
This guy should be muslim.
Muslims fix you good.
Americans are such hypocrits. What do we do about gangs in America. We manage them and we don't try to defeat and remove them.
american gangs aren't dissolving bodies in acid; dumping 50 headless bodies in the middle of downtown; or hanging people from freeway overpasses.
Oh.. no... American gangs are great.. they only poison your youth and kill some teens in Detroit, Chicago, and LA other than that American gangs are just angels..
My friends and I would fix the "gang" problem.
We rent soccer field and chop chop.
Problem fixed.
We've been fighting this drug war for how long? Are we winning?
Yes, let's legalize methamphetamine. Brilliant strategy. I'm going to nominate you for a Nobel Peace prize Einstein.
We muslims will say and do anything to destabalize America.
Lets legalize all drugs. Ok?
Right, because it being illegal sure keeps people from using it. It's not like people can make the stuff in a soda bottle while walking through Walmart or anything. Right? Better to just pretend that since some people don't approve (FYI, I don't approve of meth use either) and it's illegal, no one can get it.
Maybe he will not enforce(or just do away) their illegal immigration laws and when i sneak over there, I will be greeted with welcomed arms and be takin care of for free!!!
You know, like we do them!! SLUMS FOR ALL 2012 (now that is a good campaign slogan odummy!!)
LEGALIZE and REGULATE MARIJUANA, unless of course they're idiots.
Who is the idiot?
don't you love their comments... ""I don't have a drug problem, I have lots to smoke and inject.. I don't have a drug problem..""
Obama should welcome him. Those who say he shouldn't probably see nothing wrong with the whole Bush Saudi thing.
Every President does this, and every President should.
To snub him is to lose what little co-operation we currently get from Mexican officials.
I shia and no like sunni so no like Saudi.
North America need to make sure it keeps good relations and trade with each other. After all, we are not weak when united. This does not mean that we need to become like the EU. It just means we need to keep a healthy relationship that is also independent from eachother. Like having awesome neighbors that know when and when not to visit.
We don't need mexicans over here to take care of, we've got enough lazy white people and lazy black people to take care of. Thank God for the Mexicans now here, otherwise we'd be India.
You be a bad muslim.
You no talk bad about white and black people because they are better than you.
I got one, where can you keep a black guy from finding his keys? Hide them under his work boots
Sorry people, I am an islamic piece of crap who likes to raise shyatt.
I suppose they will continue the same defacto policy of getting rid of as many of their citizens as possible.
I just learn "defacto" and really enjoy using it.
I proud.
Did Dwight Howard get traded?
If Mexican, a black and a white guy are in a cop car, who's driving?
Please no say muslim or I kill you.
If you are in New York? or if you are in Mineapolis? or if you are in LA, or Washington DC... please be more specific..
the Drug User will ALWAYS be somewhere, hence demand /supply etc.. legalizing isnt the answer just as Alcohol isnt a big PROBLEM either?? ugh? !! untill a human sees/feels no NEED to numb they're mind , escape, get high, there is little cure but Treatment ,Prison, a fruitless hopeless existance to a searching soul for PEACE. Know JESUS Know PEACE ........ no jesus no PEACE.....what have we to LOSE? time will march on REGARDLESS Jn 3;16
Drugs and religion are for weak people
Would you people stop spouting the crap you learned in DARE class please! Most people do not use drugs to escape, or to feel numb because they can't deal with life, etc.
Legalizing marijuana is not the answer to any question. More accidents/issues happen now because of alcohol only because marijuana is illegal and that stops some people, once legalized I guarantee you the numbers will go up. So what's the next step if it was legalized? Another few decades of drugged out idiots fighting to legalize the next drug up on the list? When would it ever stop? More and more druggies pulling our nation down. Close our boarders for a decade and end drug trafficking and gang violence using extreme measures
if needed. I would rather patrol our own streets for the benefit of our nation than someone's else's. We will never end our own problems without an extreme answer.
Right, because "extreme" measures are a better first step than legalization.
Surely you are joking.
Yes. As I said what is next. When do we say enough is enough. Pot today, cocaine tomorrow? Should we say oh well let's just stop holding people accountable for anything. It's easier to just make it legal. Let's lower standards in our country even further.
I think he is right... solve your problem, it cost you billions on billions in lost productivity and healthcare, not to mention other benefits.. broken homes kids growing with only one parent etc..
Your logic is erroneous. No one, I repeat, NO ONE, is in the position of wanting to use drugs but doesn't because they are illegal. Making a highly demanded product illegal stops no one from using it. It is way easier for children in school to get drugs (an illegal product) than to get alcohol (a legal product sold only to adults). What's wrong with this picture?
Partially correct, I think from my point of view that some people do not do drugs because they are illegal, same as alcohol. Then there are those that will do it because it is illegal to rebel. That's youth. Whether alcohol or drugs are in schools period is because we cannot control such things from happening right now. Which makes my point that we need to prevent the flow of drugs in our country, not give up and say well let's make it legal then everything will be ok. Stop it in and out of our country period. People that are making it/selling it illegally now will only find another product to sell should marijuana be legalized. Then once again same people/next generation will be saying the same thing down the road, pots legal why not this one to. Do the right thing not the easy one.
If you bothered to do any research, you would see that in states that have decriminalized MJ the amount of DUI's has gone DOWN. Seems that given the choice, some people would rather smoke a J than get drunk. When those same people get behind the wheel, the pot smokers are much better drivers than drunks.
In light of this new information, I now expect your reason for opposition of legalization to go away. After all, your entire argument just collapsed into a drunken stupor. Welcome aboard the Legalize and Tax Train!
... because otherwise you're just a hypocrite who's using Reefer Madness propaganda to spread the Rule of Fear.
Yes I can read an article an pull only what I want from it to. Straight from research: "Driving while high can be dangerous, though. At larger doses of THC, problems emerge. Very high drivers can’t stay in a lane, react more slowly to yellow lights and unexpected obstacles, and are unaware of their speed. Epidemiological studies show that drivers with a blood THC level of more than 10 ng/mL—about one-half of a joint—are far more likely than sober drivers to cause an accident".
Changes nothing. Giving in and giving up should not be a choice. Prevent it from entering our country and then from the production of it in our country. The education and safety of our children over anything else.
True, Mj still has a level of impairment. All I said is that it is a lot less than with booze. Now, if you're not gonna also push for the criminalization of booze too, then you're just a hypocrite. Legalization is an improvement on the situation. This is a practical solution. Think of the children.
Drunk Driver: Runs a stop sign, killing a busload of children.
High Driver: Stops at the stop sign and waits for it to turn green.
I agree alcohol is very abused. Compare one to the other all day though and it still doesn’t change the fact that IMO there should be lines we are not willing to cross. No one seems to be looking at the big picture. Alcohol is bad enough, now add in another "legal" substance and then in 10 years let's look at the new statistics. Are you really defending the idea that everything gets better? Everyone seems stuck on the comparison to alcohol. Well guess what, people can't handle it now so what will legalizing marijuana change to prevent its continued abuse just like alcohol? We have problems now so let's make them worse right. It's easy to get online and be angry cause what you like is illegal so let's change it? And I still don't hear anyone giving any input on the next drug that will be up for legalization? Marijuana today, what tomorrow? The people that traffic drugs now will just go away? Or will they just up the movement of another drug?
[quote]"Mexico has developed a vibrant export-oriented economy that is growing at a respectable 3-4% a year. Its major destination for exports is, of course, the United States."[/quote]
Truer words were never spoken. And what, pray tell, is Mexico's numbero uno export?
People, natch. From illegal immigrants to actual visa-holders and green-card immigrants who could have made a difference in Mexico but chose to flee the drug-related violence instead.
"as well as the ways in which Mexican society has evolved over the past two decades"
Evolved??? More like devolved....
MEXICAN elections BIG FRAUD!!!!!
the usa is like the old germany in many ways... with a virtual wall(metal ,electric), everything so expensive now we need to have insurance is the law, all we do is work pay taxes and maintain the goverment; what we need is much more well paid employment and stop the raising of the economy
Are you saying Obama is Hitler?
Will Mexico EVER be free of the drug cartels????
With the PRI, no. Thats the problem......
only when americans stop using..
Only when there is a legal regulated market for drugs. Until then, no. People will always use drugs. You can lock them up, behead them, stone them, IT TOTALLY DOESN'T MATTER. You can't stop people from using drugs. And as long as there is demand, someone will find a way to supply.
Only when America puts fourth the effort to really stop the drug problem. We could do a lot to help this country if we really tried. People would not like it but it could be done.
Its too late, if mexico hasnt evolved from being a third world nation by now it never will.
actually it's considered to be a NIC: Newly industrialized Country. Learn your facts.
considered by who??? hahaha I am a Mexican Living in MEXICO! I have traveled around different countries.. Mexico is worst than ever... MEXICAN Elections FRAUD!!!!
It's too late for me.
Now all I have to do is get out of purgatory is bring in more souls.
Please help me get out of he ll!
NIC? Is that the new CSI? What channel?
"deeply interdependent the two countries are today," Um??? Since when?
Mexican elections FRAUDE!!! SHAME on you CNN....
Muslims spouting $hiet, shame on them.
when CNN is going to show the Mexican FRAUDE proofs????? in Mexico everybody knows it, but CNN doesn't show anything.... shame on you CNN....
I love camel steak. Too bad no find in America. When I go home a hero, I am going to kill me a camel and eat him
The US has nothing to learn from the Mexican elections. You should learn about all the irregularities and corruption involved in the mexican election. There is nothing to learn from them.
On the other hand, even I could learn from other people's mistakes.
Noooooooooooooooooooooooooooo, just kidding.
"the allegations of several creative means for vote buying by the PRI"- they are not simply allegations, it's the truth- caught on tape. Go to Youtube
YouTube = Muslim truth lol
To Legalize or ______(you fill-in the blank).
OK..I'll cop to it. I smoked pot for nearly forty years; sometimes daily, sometimes a couple of times a week.
I went to work high and washed-out my eyes with Visine first. I smoked while driving, fishing, sitting still, bouncing my girlfriend(s), wives, whatever.
I truly think pot is just great, but pot is boring after while. It's self-limiting in that you only get 'so' high, and smoking more doesn't make you any stoned-er.
Now days I just drink beers. What changed....?
THC metabolizes in the body just like any other food, and takes a reasonably long time for the metabolites to clear from your body. I got a DUI in a National Park and the Feds didn't care one bit if I drank while on probation; they tested me once a week for pot. That's how I found out that it really takes a long time for your body to clean-out to undetectable levels of THC metabolites in urine.
So all that time, even without recharging the THC level, the drug is active in one's body. Smoke pot every day and you are stoned all the time. You may not know it, especially after adapting to the state-of-mind out front (let's roll another), but you are making decisions about your life, relations, politics, motivations and ethics...while stoned.
My challenge to all those arguing for accepting boo into open culture is to stop smoking for six months and then revisit the issue clean and straight. See how you really feel without weed, after getting over the let-down from stopping and after rebounding as the person you are without all that THC running-around in your blood.
Silly as it sounds to say in front of all you toking know-it-alls, we need fewer intoxicated people. We don't need more ways to get fu(ked-up, and we certainly don't need a bunch of drugged-out idiots dictating national policy.
The elections have not ended... There is a lot of irregularity and corruption.
Fraud! in Mexico there is not democracy! Atto. a mexican.
Fraude electoral en México / Electoral fraud in Mexico! / La fraude électorale au Mexique! SPREAD TO THE WORLD
more illegals to the US. What's new? why can't mexicans fix their own country but have to ruin the US?
I am an illegal, but dont tell anyone.
Ruin the U.S? they're the reason you've been able to stay afloat at all recently! Those people are the reason Social Security has been able to stay alive! Why couldn't Europeans stay in their own country and fix that?
Carlos, unless you have Indian genetic flow, you are of European stock also.
Unless, you are an islamic pig pretending to be from Mexico.
deport
Hello folks. Everyone is always welcome to visit – thestarofkaduri.com
Come on!!!!! Who wrote this article is a fantasy dreamer.Party PRI and its members WILL NEVER CHANGE.Did you get it? Will never change.Just ask and get informed about the "State election".Ask how PRI "bought" the dignity and freedom of millions people by giving them money.food,scholarships,concret,gifts etc to vote PRI. My state ,YUCATAN,is a living proof of what i´m saying.Look at this equality: PRI=CORRUPTION. The "NEW PRI" as they call themselves just have new and younger faces;that´s it but they are like their predecessors.So please stop dreaming and return to reality.
Calling Mexico an export-oriented society is like saying the designers of the atomic bomb are experts in the field of urban demolition.