By Fareed Zakaria
In a strange act of historical coincidence, it is 60 years ago this week that Soviet leader Nikita Khrushchev handed the Crimea over to the Ukraine. It might not have seemed a big deal in those days – everyone was part of one big, unhappy Soviet Union. But that act has created today’s geopolitical crisis.
Russia has now made its move. It has essentially detached Crimea from the Ukrainian government’s control. What remains unclear is what Vladimir Putin wants to do with it. Incorporate it into Russia? Use it as leverage to negotiate a deal with Ukraine? Both?
In any event, Washington’s response should be clear and forceful. Russia has violated all kinds of laws and norms, including most crucially, a treaty that it signed with Ukraine guaranteeing that country’s borders, in return for which Ukraine gave up its nuclear weapons.
For Washington, for Americans, for people around the world, it would be a terrible precedent to allow issues like this to be resolved not through diplomacy, but by force. If Russia could detach parts of neighboring countries with impunity, won’t other great powers like China decide that they too can act in such ways?
So what can be done? Well, for starters President Obama should cancel entirely his attendenace at the G-8 summit to be held in Sochi in June. He should try to persuade the other major powers to follow suit. Russia’s membership in the G-8 should be suspended. Remember, the G-8 was created to recognize that post-Soviet Russia was behaving like an honorable member of the international community, not a rogue state . If the behavior has changed, Russia’s status should also change.
Militarily there is less that can be done. After all, Russia’s military budget is about 18 times that of Ukraine. But NATO should restart talks on providing assurances to countries like Poland – including perhaps building the missile defense system that was abandoned.
In economic terms, Washington and the EU should consider the only sanctions that would be effective: ones targeted specifically at individuals who could be held responsible for these acts of aggression against Ukraine.
Washington cannot do much to stop Vladimir Putin as he creates facts on the ground in Crimea. But step back and consider what a strategic disaster this is for him. Ukraine has slipped out of his orbit and most of the population there is going to be hostile to Russia for generations. Countries like Poland that had eased up relations with Moscow will now view it with great suspicion. All European countries will put their relations with Russia under review. Even China will surely oppose the brazen violation of national sovereignty, something Beijing is always concerned about. Within Russia people have seen that Putin is terrified of a democracy movement and will brutally oppose it, not really the image he wants to present.
So Putin gets Crimea, which is only 60 percent Russian. Parts of it will be deeply hostile to this Russian takeover – including the population of Crimean Tartars, who are Muslim and getting radicalized. Remember, Crimea is in the Northern Caucasus, the area where Russia has been battling a ferocious Muslim insurgency.
So even as he lines up one more piece – or half piece – on his chessboard, Putin will find that the price he has paid for it will be quite high.
send in b 52 and get it over with ,get all the countries that are so concerned about this matter to get together and do the right thing for the people of that area .if you don t stop him now it will only get worst ,some other country later ..
It is unfair article, I can't believe this. The readers diserve much better and balance info. It is sad to read this on one of the biggest media of the world(CNN) guys rimember about ethics . The author haven't mention how the west was very active supporting the protesters whom were vaiolent and the ousted yanacovich was democratically elected, how can you creat your own history while the real one out there? The west creat this conflict . The victim will be Ukrainians and Russians. The west sanction will make the situation worest. I am sure people in Eastern Ukraine will never accept the self installed Keiv gov. The west killing dimocracy in ukrain. It is the right time for the west to rethink how to aproch Russia( russia is not one of meadeleasten country) befor a lots if disaster happen.
It's good to get a fresh way of lonokig at it.
My developer is tinyrg to persuade me to move to .net from PHP. I have always disliked the idea because of the expenses. But he's tryiong none the less. I've been using WordPress on various websites for about a year and am concerned about switching to another platform. I have heard good things about blogengine.net. Is there a way I can transfer all my wordpress posts into it? Any kind of help would be greatly appreciated!
Not surprisingly the obvetcije of the on-line internet site is always to give an exact facts with the customers thus association is usually essential.Vista with its 50 million lines of code says it is strong on security.Property owners which sense since although they're specially trained in inside issue regarding re-financing may well think about skipping the option regarding seeing a new re-financing expert.
Finding this post has anerewsd my prayers
I have learn a few just right stuff here.
Certainly worth bookmarking for revisiting.
I surprise how a lot attempt you put to make such a excellent informative web site.
Thought it wo'dnlut to give it a shot. I was right.
Thanks for the sensible cutiiqre. Me and my neighbor were just preparing to do some research on this. We got a grab a book from our local library but I think I learned more from this post. I am very glad to see such excellent info being shared freely out there.
Hello are using WordPress for your blog platform? I'm new to the blog world but I'm trinyg to get started and create my own. Do you need any coding knowledge to make your own blog? Any help would be really appreciated!
That's a sharp way of thinikng about it.
Heck yeah bayb-ee keep them coming!
Dear Anonymous!Thank You for asking! I'm OK, but full of thngis to do. I feel uncomfortable to answer your question, because a lecturer of the Ventspils Augstskolas was just arrested because discussed this questions, stating that Latvia's banking system is not safe. Союз нерушимый республик свободныхСплотила навеки Великая Русь Let's say that in the near future I don't see any motive to the lats to devaluate. You have to pay attention to the Balance of Payments. When it become negative, than you may start to think about a possibility of devaluation. However, I think that the IMF will help Latvia and everything will be OK. But, as usual, they will produce an economic recession and a lot of people will become poor.
At present within just the world-wide of get together and fun the Hookahs comprise turn out to be rather famed. Anyplace yourself shift you can look at a parlor of Bongs. Nevertheless they are not merely employed for taking in pleasurable inside of some places Using tobacco Pipes are furthermore utilized to make a personal balanced and comprehensively fit yet again.
pipe à fumer http://auxdelicesderym.fr
The Global Public Square is where you can make sense of the world every day with insights and explanations from CNN's Fareed Zakaria, leading journalists at CNN, and other international thinkers. Join GPS editor Jason Miks and get informed about global issues, exposed to unique stories, and engaged with diverse and original perspectives.
Every week we bring you in-depth interviews with world leaders, newsmakers and analysts who break down the world's toughest problems.
CNN U.S.: Sundays 10 a.m. & 1 p.m ET | CNN International: Find local times
Buy the GPS mug | Books| Transcripts | Audio
Connect on Facebook | Twitter | GPS@cnn.com
Buy past episodes on iTunes! | Download the audio podcast
Check out all of Fareed's Washington Post columns here:
Obama as a foreign policy president?
Why Snowden should stand trial in U.S.
Hillary Clinton's truly hard choice
China's trapped transition
Obama should rethink Syria strategy
Enter your email address to follow this blog and receive notifications of new posts by email.
RSS - Posts
Get every new post delivered to your Inbox.
Join 4,862 other followers